Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Fbkid's week 13 predictions part 1


Last week was another big week going 11-5. But due to the game tomorrow I will just be posting my fantasy studs and my prediction for the Cowboys vs Packers game. The rest of my picks will be posted later this week. So here is my Packers Cowboys preview and my fantasy studs.

Cowboys: It isn't sure if Wade Phillips is that good a coach or just inherited a good team but either way it's working. Tony Romo has played more consistent so far this season and has 29 touchdowns to prove it. Julius Jones is getting the starts at running back but when the game is on the line Marion Barber gets the ball. Barber has 5 more touchdowns and is averaging 5 yards a carry compared to Jones with 4. Terrell Owens is also on pace for a career year as he already has 1,100 yards and 13 touchdowns. Jason Witten has also rebounded from a bad 2006 season as he already has 750 yards and 6 touchdowns which is a good season for a tight end. Patrick Crayton when healthy is also playing well as he has 500 yards and 5 touchdowns. On defense the Cowboys have lots of talent. DeMarcus Ware leads the team with 9 sacks and Greg Ellis has 8 on the season. Bradie James is also playing well as he has 70 tackles on the year. The secondary is playing pretty well as Anthony Henry has 5 interceptions and Terence Newman is playing like a shutdown corner as he has 3 interceptions even though teams rarely throw on him. Roy Williams was one of the strengths of the defense but he is having a hard time covering the deep routes. Don't be surprised if the Packers pick on him Thursday night.

Packers: Brett Favre is this years biggest surprise as many analysts didn't know how much he had left in the tank. Favre is proving them wrong as he has over 3,300 yards and 22 touchdown passes. The running game has been inconsistent but they seem to have found somebody reliable in rookie Ryan Grant. In the 4 games Grant has started he has 619 total yards and 2 touchdowns. One of the teams strengths is the receiver position. Donald Driver has only 2 touchdowns but has over 60 catches and 800 yards receiving. Greg Jennings is proving that he will be the teams future go to guy as he has 625 yards and 9 touchdowns. Rookie James Jones is a darkhorse for rookie of the year and isn't getting much credit. Jones has 600 yards receiving and 2 touchdowns. Donald Lee is also playing well at tight end with 470 yards and 4 touchdowns. The defense is led by Aaron Kampman who leads the league with 11 sacks. His teammate Kabeer Gbaja-Biamila is right behind him with 10 sacks. Nick Barnett leads the linebackers with 91 tackles and 2 interceptions. AJ Hawk is also playing well with 72 tackles and an interception. The corners Al Harris and Charles Woodson are playing very well and are great at bump and run coverage. Woodson has an injured toe and if he misses the game it will be a big hit for the Packers.

This should be one of the better games of the season and the game should go down to the wire. My prediction is the Packers 24 Cowboys 27

Fantasy Studs:
QB: Kurt Warner vs Browns: The Browns have had a hard time against the pass and Warner has been putting up huge numbers lately. Plus with the Cardinals receivers it should be a big game. Expect around 310 yards and 3 touchdowns.

RB: Selvin Young vs Raiders: Young has done a good job filling in for Travis Henry and expect the good things to continue against a poor Raiders rush defense. Expect around 150 total yards and a touchdown.

WR: Calvin Johnson vs Vikings: You would think after the Vikings defense had such a big game you wouldn't play anyone against them. But with the Lions passing attack it could be a shootout. Johnson matches up well against the Vikings shorter corners so if the Lions owner tells Mike Martz to throw to Johnson more it could be a long game. Expect around 90 yards and a touchdown.

TE: Marcedes Lewis vs Colts: The Jaguars have been getting the tight end involved lately and now that George Wrightster and Greg Estandia are out for the year, Lewis will have a huge roll. Expect around 60 yards and a touchdown.

K: Ryan Longwell vs Lions: This game is going to be a shootout and the Lions have had a hard time stopping anyone let alone Adrian Peterson. Expect around 3 extra points and 2 field goals.

Def: Patriots vs Ravens: The Patriots have been playing lights out football and the Ravens can't score. This is as obvious as it gets. Expect around 4 sacks and 3 interceptions.

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Fbkid's week 12 predictions



It was a very big week as I went 13-3 on my picks. My biggest hit was the Jaguars getting a big win at home against the Chargers. The return of David Garrard should only help the Jaguars as they are in a good position for a playoff birth. My biggest miss was the Steelers blowing out the Jets. Nobody thought the Jets had a chance of winning the game. Maybe the Jets could finish the season off strong and maybe ruin a teams season on the way. My fantasy studs were also good as I was spot on with Chester Taylor who had a huge game filling in for Adrian Peterson. So here are my week 12 picks and fantasy studs and I hope everyone has a great thanksgiving.

Game of the weak: 49ers vs Cardinals: Wow shows how much preseason picks mean. Everyone thought this game would be a shootout. Now if the teams combine for 40 points they will be lucky.

Game of the week: Texans vs Browns: This game should be a shootout. Especially since Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson are back on track. Plus both of these teams are in contention for the playoffs.

Last week:13-3
Season:108-52

Packers 35 Lions 24
Jets 16 Cowboys 38
Colts 27 Falcons 10
Vikings 17 Giants 21
Seahawks 31 Rams 21
Titans 24 Bengals 20
Saints 31 Panthers 14
Raiders 16 Chiefs 23
Bills 17 Jaguars 28
Texans 24 Browns 27
Redskins 17 Bucs 20
49ers 10 Cardinals 35
Ravens 13 Chargers 27
Broncos 21 Bears 14
Eagles 21 Patriots 42
Dolphins 13 Steelers 24

Fantasy Studs:
QB: David Garrard vs Bills: Garrard won't give you great numbers but he will give you a consistent performance every week. The Bills pass defense has had a hard time so it should be a pretty good week. Expect around 210 yards and 3 touchdowns.

RB: LenDale White vs Bengals: White has played pretty well this year and against a bad Bengals run defense he should have a big game. Expect around 110 total yards and a touchdown.

WR: Andre Johnson vs Browns: The Browns have had a hard time on pass defense and nobody will benifit more than Johnson. Now that he is healthy expect a very good game. Expect around 140 yards and a touchdown.

TE: Donald Lee vs Lions: Lee has stepped up these last few weeks and is becoming a no.1 option at tight end. Considering how bad the Lions pass defense is the turkey won't be the only thing sitting well with his owners. Expect around 70 yards and a touchdown.

K: Jason Elam vs Bears: This game should be a battle of field position so Elam should have a big game. Expect around 3 field goals and an extra point or two.

Def: Cardinals vs 49ers: Until the 49ers get a passing game every unit playing them should be a must start. Expect around 4 sacks and 3 interceptions.

Saturday, November 17, 2007

Fbkid's week 11 predictions


It was a rough week for me as I only went 5-9 on my picks. Well I was bound for a let down after getting at least 9 right the last month. My hit of the week was the Steelers getting a big win at home against the Browns. The miss had to have been the Lions who got outplayed by the Cardinals. To make it worse the Lions didn't even have positive yards running the ball. I did alright on the fantasy studs with Brett Favre having a big game and the Chiefs defense playing pretty well. Here are my week 11 picks and fantasy studs.

Game of the weak: Rams vs 49ers: Who would have thought that this game would be a battle for 3rd place in the NFC west?

Game of the week: Chargers vs Jaguars: Both teams came off big wins last week as the Chargers had an emotional game at home and the Jaguars got a big divisional win against the Titans. Even more good news for the Jaguars,David Garrard should be playing this week.

Last week:5-9
Season:95-49

Bucs 24 Falcons 13
Browns 28 Ravens 16
Giants 35 Lions 24
Dolphins 14 Eagles 28
Raiders 14 Vikings 17
Chargers 21 Jaguars 24
Chiefs 14 Colts 35
Cardinals 21 Bengals 31
Panthers 10 Packers 35
Saints 31 Texans 23
Steelers 35 Jets 7
Bears 17 Seahawks 27
Rams 27 49ers 13
Redskins 16 Cowboys 38
Patriots 35 Bills 24
Titans 16 Broncos 24

Fantasy studs:
QB: Jon Kitna vs Giants: The Giants have had a hard time stopping the pass and Kitna should get lots of opportunities as they should be playing from behind. Expect around 340 yards and 2 touchdowns.

RB: Chester Taylor vs Raiders: If it wasn't for Adrian Peterson,Taylor would probably be no.2 back in most fantasy leagues. This is the matchup his owners are dreaming of. The Raiders are 28th in the league in rushing and have allowed 13 touchdowns. It should be a good day for Taylor so expect around 140 yards and a touchdown.

WR: Plaxico Burress vs Lions: Is anyone on the Lions capable of covering Burress? When the number one cornerback is Fernando Bryant,probably not. Burress should have a very big game. Expect around 130 yards and a touchdown.

TE: Leonard Pope vs Bengals: Pope was a popular pickup this week as he had 2 touchdowns last week. His owners should expect another good game this week also. Expect around 50 yards and a touchdown.

K: Phil Dawson vs Ravens: All the sudden teams have been scoring on the Ravens with ease. Is this the beginning of the end for the star studded defense? Dawson should benefit this week as the Browns will get lots of chances. Expect around 3 field goals and 2 extra points.

Def: Vikings vs Raiders: The Vikings haven't put up great fantasy numbers since the first few weeks of the year. Now is the time to use them again against a struggling Raiders offense. Expect around 5 sacks 2 interceptions and a defensive touchdown.

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Adrian Peterson highlight reel

I don't agree with people already calling him the best back in the league but if he keeps playing like this he is well on his way. Here is a mix of his highlights halfway through the season. The scary thought is this is only his first 8 games.
Everyone meet the first pick of every fantasy football draft next year.


Friday, November 09, 2007

Fbkid's week 10 predictions


It was another big week as I went 11-3 on my picks. My hit was the Browns getting a big win at home against the Seahawks. If you didn't think the Browns were for real you better start believing. They are right in the chase for getting a wild card in the tough AFC. My biggest miss was the Vikings beating the Chargers. You would have thought by the 9th week that the opposing teams know that the Vikings can't pass the ball. Until they don't Adrian Peterson will keep having big games. I was right on with my fantasy stud picks of Jason Witten and the Titans defense. Witten had around 70 yards and a touchdown while the Titans defense had 7 sacks and 2 interceptions. So here are my week 10 picks and fantasy studs.

Game of the weak: Bears vs Raiders: This one is sure to be a slugfest as neither team has any quarterback play. Don't be surprised with a 6-3 final score.

Game of the week: Cowboys vs Giants: What about the Giants? 2 games in everyone was calling for Tom Coughlin's head now he is doing a great job. Well thats New York for you just ask A-Rod. Expect this game to come down to the wire.

Last week: 11-3
Season:90-40

Falcons 14 Panthers 17
Vikings 16 Packers 24
Broncos 17 Chiefs 20
Bills 27 Dolphins 13
Rams 14 Saints 31
Browns 20 Steelers 27
Jaguars 13 Titans 17
Eagles 17 Redskins 21
Bengals 20 Ravens 24
Lions 28 Cardinals 21
Cowboys 24 Giants 27
Bears 13 Raiders 10
Colts 31 Chargers 24
49ers 14 Seahawks 28

Fantasy Studs:
QB: Brett Favre vs Vikings: Favre is having a great year as he seems like he is having lots of fun again. The Packers have way to many weapons for the Vikings to stop so look for a big day. Expect around 260 yards and 3 touchdowns.

RB: Joseph Addai vs Chargers: Addai is having a great year and look for very good numbers this week. The Chargers average 4.7 yards per carry so it should be another big day out of Addai. Expect around 150 total yards and a touchdown.

WR: Lee Evans vs Dolphins: Evans has been on a roll lately and look for nothing to change. Nobody in the Dolphins secondary has the speed to catch up with him so it should be a huge day. Expect around 140 yards and a touchdown.

TE: Greg Olsen vs Raiders: The Raiders pass defense has really struggled this year and Olsen is just starting to heat up. Expect around 60 yards and a touchdown.

K: Josh Brown vs 49ers: Remember in the offseason how all the experts predicted the 49ers to make the playoffs? That seems like a long time ago. Other than a few bright spots the 49ers haven't looked that great. Look for Brown to get a lot of opportunites and expect around low double digits.

Def: Chiefs vs Broncos: The Chiefs are slowly building a good defensive unit and should be a good play against a banged up Broncos offense. Expect around 4 sacks and 2 interceptions.

Friday, November 02, 2007

Fbkid's week 9 predictions


Last week was another big week as I was spot on with my pick of the Saints going into San Francisco and getting a big win. The Saints are now back in the chase as they have won 3 straight games and Drew Brees has started to play well. I was very surprised when the Packers went into Denver and won on Monday night. I didn't think that the Packers would actually run the ball and they would get that many big plays passing on the Broncos corners. It was also a good week for my fantasy studs Derek Anderson and Hines Ward. Anderson threw for 250 plus yards and 3 touchdowns while Ward had 80 plus yards and 2 touchdowns. Here are my week 9 picks and fantasy studs.

Game of the weak: 49ers vs Falcons: This won't be a fun one to watch.

Game of the week: Patriots vs Colts: They have been hyping this game so much does anything else have to be said?

Last week:10-3
Season:79-37

Chargers 31 Vikings 17
Panthers 16 Titans 20
Cardinals 17 Bucs 21
Redskins 24 Jets 13
Jaguars 20 Saints 24
49ers 13 Falcons 14
Bengals 31 Bills 24
Broncos 20 Lions 21
Packers 28 Chiefs 21
Seahawks 21 Browns 24
Texans 14 Raiders 16
Patriots 35 Colts 31
Cowboys 28 Eagles 20
Ravens 14 Steelers 24

Fantasy Studs:
QB: Philip Rivers vs Vikings: The Vikings have the worst pass defense in the league and could miss the teams best corner Antoine Winfield. That means a big day for Rivers and Antonio Gates. Expect around 230 yards and 3 touchdowns.

RB: Kevin Jones vs Broncos: SInce coming back from injury Jones has played like the elite back he was projected to be coming out of Virginia Tech. Now he is up against the worst run defense in the league. Expect around 130 total yards and a touchdown.

WR: Brandon Marshall vs Lions: Marshall remains one of the only healthy targets the Broncos have. That equals a big day against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. Expect around 130 yards and a touchdown.

TE: Jason Witten vs Eagles: Witten is slowly becoming Tony Romo's favorite target and the Eagles have had some trouble against the pass. Expect around 80 yards and a touchdown.

K: Sebastian Janikowski vs Texans: The Texans have allowed lots of points lately and look for that trend to continue. Expect around mid double digits this week.

Def: Titans vs Panthers: The Titans have played very well on defense this year and the Panthers have issues at quarterback. This should be a great play. Expect around 4 sacks and 2 interceptions.

Thursday, November 01, 2007

Fbkid's AFC North mid season report cards


This division is one of the most competive in the league. Three of the teams have records over .500 and the other has lots of potential if they only had a defense. If these teams keep it up it should be a wild chase for the division title. Here are my AFC North mid season report cards.

Pttsburgh Steelers: Nobody thought that Mike Tomlin's adjustment to being a head coach would be this smooth. The Steelers are 5 and 2 and haven't lost in the divison. One of those reasons is becuase the play of Ben Roethlisberger. Roethlisberger has 1533 yards and 15 touchdowns on the year. This time last year he only had 6 touchdown passes. Running back Willie Parker is also having a great year with 726 yards and 4.4 yards a carry. If Parker finds the endzone more than twice, the Steelers should be in great shape. The receivers are also playing well as Santonio Holmes has 426 yards and 4 touchdowns. Hines Ward has played well but has been hurt as he has 3 touchdowns. The tight ends has also combined for 8 touchdowns. On defense Troy Polamalu has played very well with the defense allowing the least points in the NFL. James Farrior is also playing well with 4 sacks. The Steelers should make lots of noise the remainder of the season.

Grade:A

Baltimore Ravens: Other than some inconsistent quarterback play the Ravens have played pretty well. Steve McNair and Kyle Boller combine for 5 touchdown passes. They will have to pass more than that to make the playoffs. On the bright side, Willis McGahee is among the league leaders in rushing with 639 yards rushing. Derrick Mason has already caught 56 passes and is on pace to have way over 100. Look for big 2nd halves out of Mark Clayton,Demetrius Williams and Todd Heap if the Ravens want to make the playoffs. The defense has played well also. Ed Reed is among the league leaders with 4 interceptions and Ray Lewis is playing well with 58 tackles.Yamon Figurs returned one return touchdown so far but if the Ravens want to win he has to hold on to the ball. If the Ravens don't get going on offense don't expect the playoff run that many experts predicted in the preseason as this team isn't playing to their full potential.

Grade: B-

Cleveland Browns: The Browns are this years biggest surprise as nobody had them playing such good football. One of the main reasons is the quarterback Derek Anderson who has thrown for 1744 yards and 17 touchdowns. The Browns could be in a similar situation that the Chargers were in last year with the veteran and the younger option in Brady Quinn. The Browns running game hasn't done that well so far as Jamal Lewis got most of his yards in one game. The receivers though are playing great as Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow have combined for 1200 yards and 12 touchdowns on the season. Sean Jones is slowly becoming a pro bowl safety on defense and Leigh Bodden has 4 interceptions on the year and don't be surprised if he makes the pro bowl this year. Look for Kamerion Wimbley to get back on track as he only has 3 sacks so far. Overall Romeo Crennel's job coaching his been the best so far this season. Don't be surprised if the Browns creep into the playoffs as they have a pretty easy schedule ahead of them.

Grade:A-

Cincinnati Bengals: How the mighty have fallen. The Bengals a few years back were many peoples picks to make the super bowl in the AFC. Now they could have more arrests than wins. The offense is playing fine as Carson Palmer,Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh are all playing great football. Kenny Watson is doing a good job filling in for Rudi Johnson with 401 yards and 4 touchdowns. Watson is also averaging almost 5 yards a carry. The defense is a totally different story as they are 31st in total defense. Madieu Williams is playing well now that he is healthy and Leon Hall is making strides as a rookie corner as he has 2 interceptions. The defense isn't getting enough pressure on the quarterback and that's what it comes down to . If the Bengals play like this the rest of the season,it will be a long offseason in Cincinnati.

Grade:D