Monday, March 30, 2009

Fbkid's 2009 Draft Rankings: Quarterback



Unlike last year, this draft isn't very deep at the quarterback position. Last year happened to be a pretty strong class of quarterbacks as Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco came in right away and led their teams to the playoffs and should be stars for years to come. Chad Henne also has the potential to become an elite quarterback when the Dolphins start him which is most likely in 2010. Here are my quarterback rankings for this year's class.


1. Matt Stafford Georgia
2. Mark Sanchez USC
3. Josh Freeman Kansas State
4. Nate Davis Ball State
5. Rhett Bomar Sam Houston State
6. Brian Hoyer Michigan State
7. Curtis Painter Purdue
8. Pat White West Virginia
9. Todd Boeckman Ohio State
10. Graham Harrell Texas Tech

2009 class grade: C

Summary:

Matt Stafford has one of the strongest arms in all of football and has the potential to be a pro bowl caliber player. Stafford though needs to work on his accuracy, consistency and his footwork which at times can get sloppy.

Mark Sanchez has all of the tools to be a very good quarterback in the NFL. He has excellent mechanics and played best in big games. The only problem is he only started 16 games in college so the potential to be a one year wonder is there.

Josh Freeman could have more upside then any quarterback in this class. He has prototypical size and a very strong arm. He didn't put up gaudy numbers in college mainly due to the fact that he didn't have anywhere near the supporting casts that Stafford and Sanchez had. Due to the Joe Flacco effect last year, Freeman is flying up draft boards and could end up being selected in the first half of round one.

Nate Davis is a proven winner who put the Ball State program on the map and has a big arm. He doesn't have the ideal height you look for but if given two or three years to develop, could become a solid starter.

Rhett Bomar is best known as the guy who was kicked out of Oklahoma but has turned his career around since. He has a strong arm and if coached properly could become a good pro.

Brian Hoyer didn't put up eye popping numbers at Michigan State, but is moving up draft boards. Hoyer performed well at both the East-West shrine game at the combine. He is one of the fastest rising quarterbacks on the board and could be picked in round four or five.

Curtis Painter is the Brian Brohm of this year's class. Before the year, everyone had Painter going in the first round. Now, he projects more as a possible late round pick. Painter has talent and is worth a team taking a chance on him in day two.

Pat White by most isn't projected at quarterback at the next level. Say what you want about him but White if a proven winner. He is undersized but is a better passer and has a stronger arm then people realize. Even though he is reluctant to do receiver drills, if White decides to take on the challenge and change positions he could have a similar career to Antwan Randle El.

Todd Boeckman had a very solid junior season before splitting time with freshman phenom Terrelle Pryor. That sounds like a story very similar to Tom Brady's who split time with Drew Henson before establishing himself as one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Now in no way shape or form am I comparing Boeckman to Brady, just don't underestimate him. Boeckman has prototypical size and good presence in the pocket. Out of all the quarterbacks who will be drafted on day two of this year's draft, Boeckman has the most upside.

Graham Harrell had an excellent career at Texas Tech but it will be very hard for him to adjust to the pros. He didn't have to make many NFL type throws and it will be a challenge getting used to taking the ball from center. Unlike the other Texas Tech quarterback products, Harrell has the ability to become a decent backup in the NFL.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Only One Team Attends Nate Davis' Pro Day


When the whole draft process started, Nate Davis was a quarterback who lots of people were talking about. He led the Ball State Cardinals, a school that is better known for producing David Letterman than any NFL player, to a 12-0 start. People were praising him and calling him the next great quarterback to come from the MAC. Now March rolls along when you would expect Davis to show scouts why he should possibly be a first day pick at his pro day. In one of the worst possible scenerios, only one team shows up for his Pro Day. Here is what I think hurt Davis' stock and will end up happening with him come draft time and how he will fair in the NFL.

Davis' fall started in December. The Cardinals went on to lose their last two games and Davis didn't look that impressive in either of them. He frequently turned the ball over and even played one of the games sick. This made teams very wary is Davis would have the instincts to become a starting quarterback. It only got worse at the combine. Davis measured in at 6'1 and while many scouts viewed him as an athletic quarterback, he clocked a 4.98 in the forty yard dash.

The only team who showed up at Davis' pro day was the Indianapolis Colts. If any team selects Davis, this could be the best case scenario for him. Davis needs a team with a quarterback so he can sit behind him and learn the offense for the next two or three years. A team like the Colts could be a perfect fit. Peyton Manning will be entering his 12th year in the league and will probably only play two or three more years. By the time he retires, Davis will either be ready to take over the offense or they will need to draft a replacement. Considering Davis will most likely be a 4th-5th round pick, this move doesn’t have much downside for the Colts.

Overall, I think Davis could turn out to be a solid quarterback who needs at least two or three years to develop. He has the work ethic teams look for and is very coachable and is an accurate passer who can make throws on the run. Davis also compares very favorably to former Heisman trophy winner Troy Smith as they are both accurate outside the pocket. The only real difference is that Davis has a stronger arm. In the NFL, Davis could become a solid starter but will at least be a serviceable backup.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Fbkid's 2009 NFL Mock Draft #2


Many things have changed since my first mock draft. After the combine and free agency in full swing, some teams have already tackled some of their biggest needs and have other areas they need to address. Some players as a result of this and for different reasons at the combine have seen their stock drop but it is only the middle of March so lots of things can happen. Here is my latest mock draft.



1. Detroit Lions: Matt Stafford QB Georgia
2. St. Louis Rams: Jason Smith T Baylor
3. Kansas City Chiefs: Aaron Curry LB Wake Forest
4. Seattle Seahawks: Eugene Monroe T Virginia
5. Cleveland Browns: Brian Orakpo DE Texas
6. Cincinnati Bengals: BJ Raji DT Boston College
7. Oakland Raiders: Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri
8. Jacksonville Jaguars: Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech
9. Green Bay Packers: Everette Brown DE Florida State
10. San Francisco 49ers: Mark Sanchez QB USC
11. Buffalo Bills: Aaron Maybin DE Penn State
12. Denver Broncos: Tyson Jackson DE LSU
13. Washington Redskins: Andre Smith T Alabama
14. New Orleans Saints: Malcolm Jenkins CB Ohio State
15. Houston Texans: Brian Cushing LB USC
16. San Diego Chargers: Rey Maulauga LB USC
17. New York Jets: Josh Freeman QB Kansas State
18. Chicago Bears: Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Peria Jerry DT Mississippi
20. Detroit Lions: Michael Oher T Mississippi
21. Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Wells RB Ohio State
22. Minnesota Vikings: Eben Britton T Arizona
23. New England Patriots: Clay Matthews LB USC
24. Atlanta Falcons: Vontae Davis CB Illinois
25. Miami Dolphins: Larry English DE Northern Illinois
26. Baltimore Ravens: Percy Harvin WR Florida
27. Indianapolis Colts: Evander Hood DT Missouri
28. Philadelphia Eagles: Brandon Pettigrew TE Oklahoma State
29. New York Giants: Hakeem Nicks WR North Carolina
30. Tennessee Titans: Robert Ayers DE Tennessee
31. Arizona Cardinals: Knowshon Moreno RB Georgia
32. Pittsburgh Steelers: Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest