Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Frank Gore breaks hand could miss entire preseason


San Francisco 49ers running back Frank Gore has broken a bone in his right hand the first day of padded practice. Gore had over 1500 yards last year and set his goal to get 2000 this year. If he misses any time, Maurice Hicks or Michael Robinson could challenge for the starting job. Hicks has had most of his experience at kick returner. Robinson who was a rookie last year, got lots of experience as a goal line back as Gore had trouble holding on to the ball in the red zone. One guy not to count out is 6th round pick Thomas Clayton who is a physical freak but had some character issues at Kansas State. Clayton should probably make the team on special teams. Even though this injury could affect him early on in the season, Gore is still a good option as a no.1 fantasy back.

Saturday, July 28, 2007

Atlanta Falcons season preview


Last years record: 7-9 (3rd place in division)
Coach: Bobby Petrino

Key Additon: Joey Harrington didn't look like a huge pickup earlier in the off season but now with the Michael Vick scandal it's a whole different story. Harrington has had some decent performances but hasn't played like a starter so far in his career. He could end up being a solid player as he will now have good protection in the pocket. Bobby Petrino should help his cause as he is supposed to be an offensive genius and teams were after him for years.

Key Loss: Patrick Kerney when healthy was a sack machine. The only problem was that didn't happen much. Kerney had lots of nagging injuries in Atlanta and was getting up in age. The team didn't have enough money to meet his contract demands and Jamaal Anderson is a solid replacement as a rookie.

Draft: This looks like a pretty good draft for the Falcons as they got lots of youth at positions that were having problems last year. 1st round defensive end Jamaal Anderson of Arkansas should be a double digit sack threat as he is very fast off the edge and should start right away. 2nd round offensive tackle Justin Blaylock should also start right away on one of the best lines in the league. Chris Houston another second rounder from Arkansas could start at corner opposite DeAngelo Hall. Houston has 4.3 speed and shut down some of the best receivers in the nation. 3rd round receiver Laurent Robinson out of Illinois State is very athletic and should be developed into a starter. 4th round linebacker Stephen Nicholas from USF is a physical specimen who's skills are very raw and could start in a few years.

Offense: The loss of Michael Vick kills this offense as defenses no longer have to fear his play making ability. Vick would be lucky if he ever wears an NFL uniform again which won't help the Falcons salary cap. Joey Harrington is a more accurate passer but is nothing near Vick's freakish athletic ability. Harrington starting should make the receivers happy as he won't take off before the receivers finish routes. Warrick Dunn had back surgery and is scheduled to miss all of the preseason and could lose his starting job also. Jerious Norwood was very impressive last year as he had 633 yards last year on only 99 carries. Norwood has potential to be a 1300 yard back. Considering how much money is spent on the receivers, they aren't that good. Joe Horn was picked up in the off season but isn't the player he used to be. Michael Jenkins is a good athlete who hasn't lived up to his 1st round pick a few years back. Alge Crumpler is one of the most reliable tight ends in the league. He should have an even bigger impact this year as Harrington is just learning the offense and the tight end is the biggest target on the field. Todd Wiener leads a good offensive line as the Falcons had the best rushing offense in the league mainly due to Michael Vick taking off without looking at his receivers route progression.

Defense: This defense looks a lot better on paper then they do on the field. When John Abraham is healthy, he is one of the premiere defensive ends in the league and could get around 12 sacks. Rod Coleman and Grady Jackson are a great tandem of defensive tackles as Jackson clogs up the line and Coleman is athletic enough to rush the passer. The linebackers are led by Keith Brooking who is very passionate about the game and is a tackle machine. Linebackers Demorrio Williams and Michael Boley are both very young and athletic and should improve this year. DeAngelo Hall is one of the premiere corners in the game as he had 4 interceptions and shuts down the best receiver the opponent has to offer. The safties aren't the best as Lawyer Milloy is getting up in age and Chris Crocker is very inexperienced.

Fantasy Studs: Jerious Norwood RB: Norwood was solid as a rookie last year but could have a breakout campaign. If Warrick Dunn isn't healthy in time for the regular season, Norwood is the starter. Keep him as a no.3 fantasy back for now.
Alge Crumpler TE: Crumpler had a career high 8 touchdowns last year but don't expect those numbers this year. Crumpler was Vick's go to guy but his production should drop as Harrington will spread the ball around more. He should still be a good no.1 fantasy tight end.

Prediction: Michael Vick has officially ruined the season for the Falcons as he will probably never wear an NFL uniform again. Otherwise this is a pretty solid Falcons team but the quarterback position is so poor it kills all hope. My prediction is 4-12 and last place in the division.

1st round holdout list


Most of the first round are signed but some players still are having dilemmas over things like guaranteed money and length of the deal. Here is the list of the 1st rounders who haven't signed yet and their teams.


1. Oakland Raiders: JaMarcus Russell QB LSU

2. Detroit Lions: Calvin Johnson WR Georgia Tech

5. Arizona Cardinals: Levi Brown T Penn State

6. Washington Redskins: LaRon Landry S LSU

7. Minnesota Vikings: Adrian Peterson RB Oklahoma

11. San Francisco 49ers: Patrick Willis LB Mississippi

22. Cleveland Browns: Brady Quinn QB Notre Dame

23. Kansas City Chiefs: Dwyane Bowe WR LSU

25. Carolina Panthers: Jon Beason LB Miami(FL)

Camps have started and that is why only 9 picks are left unsigned. My guess is the last player to sign will be Brady Quinn as he feels he is a top 10 player even though he was drafted at 22. This holdout could get ugly and could end just days before the regular season.

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

New Orleans Saints season preview


Last years record:10-6 (1st in division)
Coach: Sean Payton

Key Addition:Eric Johnson could have a very good season if he stays healthy as the Saints spread the ball around very well. Johnson is a good pass catching tight end and could get around 40 catches and 4 touchdowns.

Key Loss: Michael Lewis is a good return man who was a threat every time he touched the ball. The team will also miss his presence in the locker room but as he got older he seemed to lose a step of speed. The Saints should have an easy time replacing him potentially using 4th rounder Antonio Pittman.

Draft: This draft doesn't look that deep for the Saints after the first couple of rounds. But then again, they were the ones who drafted Marques Colston in the 7th round. 1st round receiver Robert Meachem from Tennessee should compete for a starting role this year. The team should be concerned about the facts that Meachem needed knee surgery and came to mini camp overweight. 3rd round cornerback Usama Young from Kent State was a bit of a reach here but is a good athlete. He should be a nickel back this year but should step into a starting role in a few years. 4th round running back Antonio Pittman from Ohio State should make an impact on special teams this year but, could be a reliable no.2 back as Deuce McAllister is getting older.

Offense: This offense is one of the most explosive in the league. Drew Brees had a MVP caliber season as he led the Saints to the teams first playoff berth since 1999. Brees is a great pocket passer and knows how to get all of his weapons involved. Reggie Bush is one of the most explosive players in the league and should be more involved in the running game this year. Deuce McAllister is more of a bruiser type who should see more limited carries this year with Bush getting better. He should still be a threat around the red zone. Marques Colston was a huge surprise getting over 1000 yards last year and evolved to a go-to-guy down the stretch. Devery Henderson is a great deep threat and if Meachem isn't ready could be the number two starter. The offensive line really helps a top running rushing attack. Jammal Brown is turning into a top caliber tackle in just his 3rd year in the league. Jahri Evans was also a great surprise as a rookie last year and is playing at a pro bowl level.

Defense: The Saints defense was solid in the regular season but was exposed in the playoffs as the Bears put up over 35 points against them. Will Smith is becoming a monster on the defensive line as he got 10.5 sacks last year. He should continue that trend this year. Charles Grant has slowed down a little as he doesn't command double teams anymore. He is still a threat for 8 sacks. Brian Simmons should come in at linebacker and improve the defense. He has lots of experience and should become the leader of the defense. Mike McKenzie is a solid corner who had two interceptions last year. Jason David improves the other corner slot as he is also experienced and has played in big games.

Fantasy Studs: Drew Brees QB: Brees is one of the top quarterbacks in the league and makes the offense go. He is definitely worth a choice as a number 1 quarterback.
Reggie Bush RB: Bush really stepped up later in the season as he became a touchdown machine. He is a great no.2 back but is a good number one in reception leagues.
Marques Colston WR: Nobody will be surprised about Colston this year as he is now the Saints clear number one receiver. He should have another great season and is a great choice as a no.2 fantasy receiver.

Prediction: The Saints are a very explosive team as they have a variety of playmakers. As a dome team,it will be very important for them to get home field advantage in the playoffs to help avoid another January game in Chicago. If that happens they could more dangerous than year. My prediction is 11-5 and first place in the division.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers season preview


Last years record: 4-12 (last place in division)
Coach: Jon Gruden

Key Addition: Jeff Garcia, even in his mid 30's, has proven he can be a quarterback who can win games. The only problem is his consistency as with the 49ers and Eagles he played at a pro bowl level.The Lions and Browns were a total different story as he was a walking turnover. Gruden is good with quarterbacks so expect Garcia to have a solid year.

Key Loss:The Bucs didn't have that many off-season losses as they readdressed problem areas with younger and more athletic players.

Draft: This draft might not look that great for the Bucs on paper, but it could end up becoming a very solid class. Clemson defensive end Gaines Adams is very explosive off the edge and the first rounder should start this year. Tennessee tackle Arron Sears is a massive player who is a future starter and is good value in the second round. Oregon State safety Sabby Piscitelli is a good athlete but is very cocky and is worth a shot in developing as a 3rd rounder. 4th round New Mexico linebacker Quincy Black is also a project as of now as he is a good athlete but his skills are very raw. The sleeper of the draft is 7th round Alabama running back Kenneth Darby who could make the team as a no.3 back but should become a solid backup for Cadillac Williams.

Offense: The offenses problem last year was at quarterback as Chris Simms ruptured his spleen and was out for the year. He was replaced by Bruce Gradkowski who played ok for a rookie but isn't starter material as of now. Gradkowski should remain on the team as Gruden really likes him. Cadillac Williams hardly played like his rookie of the year campaign in 2005. Williams had less then 800 yards last year but this year he should be healthy and the team has more of a passing threat. The receivers weren't great last year as Joey Galloway was the only player with more then 60 receptions. Even in his mid 30's, Galloway is still a burner and should get around 1000 yards this year with 7 touchdowns. Michael Clayton has underachieved since his rookie season and could be replaced as a starter this year. Maurice Stovall should take over the role as he is a huge target with reliable hands and will be a great help in the red zone. The offensive line wasn't that great last year but they got good performances out of young players Davin Joseph and Jeremy Trueblood. The team was 28th in rushing last year but look for them to rise to the middle of the pack this year.

Defense: The defense is good but is hardly the defense it was just a few years ago. Simeon Rice has slowed down and might not be the double digit sack player he was. Derrick Brooks is he remains one of the best linebackers in the league as he is a great competitor and tackling machine. Cato June should improve the team speed at linebacker and make a big impact in the Cover 2 scheme. The corners are aging as Ronde Barber might not have the speed to cover receivers deep and Brian Kelly is a solid number 2 but is also getting up in age. Jermaine Phillips was a good surprise last year as he had over 100 tackles at the safety position and should build on that this year.

Fantasy Studs: Joey Galloway WR: Galloway should have an even better season as now he will actually have reliable play at quarterback. He should be a low no.2 receiver or a high no.3.
Cadillac Williams RB: Williams should also have a better year as teams won't put 8 in the box considering an improved passing attack. If his touchdown numbers improve, he should be used as a low no.2 back possibly no.3.

Prediction: The Bucs are hardly the team that won the Super Bowl 5 years ago. They're younger at some key positions and they have the makings of a sleeper team in a weak NFC. The season all depends on the play of Garcia and how he makes the offense run. My prediction is 7-9 and 3rd place in the division.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Should the Jags get Daunte Culpepper?




Considering how inconsistent play was at the quarterback position last year and the fact that Mike Tice is an assistant coach has made it seem obvious that the Jags are in the running for Culpepper. I don't really think that if this all plays out it would be a great pickup for the Jags.
Byron Leftwich even though bashed by the local media constantly is currently the starter. This is also the last year in his contract so this year could make or break his future in Jacksonville. When given time in the pocket Leftwich could look great at times as he has been known to go on stretches when he completes 15 passes in a row and lead the Jags to victory. His problems are speed of release and a long stride in the pocket. Word out of mini camp is that he is working on shortening it with new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter.
David Garrard had his chance last season, playing poorly in key games. The many analysts that say he is one of the best backup quarterbacks in the league must have not seen him play last year. In a key division game against the Titans, the Jags totally outplayed them yet still lost. That was because Garrard threw four interceptions. (Ever seen the Pacman Jones highlights they show while describing his latest strip club incident? That's him running back a Garrard pass for a touchdown. Overall Garrard is a capable backup and not much more.
Quinn Gray when given the chance has played great as he seems like a combination of both Leftwich and Garrard. Against the Chiefs Gray was throwing Leftwich-like bullets (unlike Garrard) to the right team. Gray has Garrard's running ability, scoring two touchdowns against the Chiefs when he replaced Garrard in the middle of the game. He could become a good backup quarterback but for a no.3 is a great option.
So overall the Jags aren't that bad at quarterback at least for this year. If this position struggles, they could go for a free agent or draft a quarterback like Andre Woodson of Kentucky next year. These are all reasons why the Jags shouldn't go with Daunte Culpepper. The team has stuck with Leftwich this far they should just let him finish out his contract and possibly resign next year.

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Carolina Panthers season preview


Last years record: 8-8 (2nd in division)
Coach: John Fox
Key Addition: David Carr at times showed how good a player he could be. Now with a solid offensive line he should be a reliable backup. If Jake Delhomme doesn't get off to a good start Carr could start early.

Key Loss: The Panthers didn't have too many losses this offseason. Keyshawn Johnson retired after being released.

Draft: This has the looks of a really good draft for the Panthers. Miami linebacker Jon Beason could have a big impact this season and could possibly start by seasons end. USC receiver Dwayne Jarrett could end up being a great value in the second round as he could start opposite Steve Smith and be a big factor in the redzone. Georgia defensive end Charles Johnson was also a great value in the 3rd round and should get a chance to start in a couple years as Mike Rucker is getting older. The sleeper of the group is Miami(Ohio) receiver Ryne Robinson who was an accomplished college player and could make an impact on kick returns and on 4 receiver sets.

Offense: This offense has potential to be explosive but they have training camp battles at two main positions. Jake Delhomme is fighting for his job as David Carr is younger with a stronger arm. Delhomme though is a better leader and has a good connection with Steve Smith. Running back is also an issue as DeShaun Foster has been injury prone and has underachieved for the most part of his career. The team used a first rounder on DeAngelo Williams last year and showed lots of potential and should win the battle in training camp. The offensive line is solid as Jordan Gross is a solid tackle and Mike Wahle is getting older but is still very effective. The bright spot though is receiver Steve Smith who if he didn't have nagging injuries to start the season would have had an even better campaign. Either Jarrett or Drew Carter need to step as a number 2 receiver so Smith doesn't face double teams on every play.

Defense: This defense has potential to be an elite unit as Julius Peppers is a great overall athlete and is a threat to get 15 sacks every year. If Kris Jenkins and Mike Rucker are healthy, it would help Peppers even more as they have a run stopper and another double digit sack threat. If Dan Morgan is concussion free, he could be a very effective player as a leader on the defense. Thomas Davis a former safety turned linebacker has shown signs that he can be a very good player for a long time. The Panthers have lots of young talent at corner with second year Richard Marshall showing that he could be a big time player. Chris Gamble has been a shutdown guy ever since he came in the league and Ken Lucas has lots of talent as a nickel back.

Fantasy studs: DeAngelo Williams RB: Williams is a good sleeper as he hasn't gotten the starting job but has shown flashes of how good he can be. He is a good receiver out of the backfield and also is a threat to score every time he touches the ball. He should be a no.3 back as of now possibly being a low no.2.
Steve Smith WR: Smith is as good as it gets for fantasy football as he gets you lots of yards to go with double digit touchdowns. If Smith is healthy for a whole year he should definitely have a season similar to the one in '05. If on your team, Smith is definitely a no.1 receiver.

Prediction: It's hard to believe a year ago the Panthers were a trendy pick to win the Super Bowl. That isn't the case this year even though the Panthers have potential to be a very dangerous team. My prediction is 9-7 good for a wild card spot and second in the division.

Friday, July 13, 2007

2001 all draft team


After seeing the popularity of my all 2002 and 2003 draft teams I have decided to analyze my all 2001 team. This might be the most loaded draft of them all as it has one of the best quarterbacks in the game, the best running back and three of the ten best receivers. Plus it also has many pro bowl defensive players. The teams only weakness is noticebly at linebacker and the other safety spot. So here is my all 2001 draft team.


Offense: QB: Drew Brees: Round 2 Pick 32

RB: LaDainian Tomlinson: Round 1 Pick 5

WR: Chad Johnson: Round 2 Pick 36

WR: Reggie Wayne: Round 1 Pick 30

WR: Steve Smith: Round 3 Pick 74

TE: Todd Heap: Round 1 Pick 31

T: Matt Light: Round 2 Pick 48

G: Steve Hutchinson: Round 1 Pick 17

C: Casey Rabach: Round 3 Pick 92

G: Leonard Davis: Round 1 Pick 2

T: Jeff Backus: Round 1 Pick 18


Defense:

DE: Aaron Schobel: Round 2 Pick 46

DT: Marcus Stroud: Round 1 Pick 13

DT: Richard Seymour: Round 1 Pick 6

DE: Derrick Burgess: Round 3 Pick 63

LB: Kendrell Bell: Round 2 Pick 39

LB: Dan Morgan: Round 1 Pick 11

LB: Morlon Greenwood: Round 3 Pick 88

CB: Nate Clements: Round 1 Pick 21

CB: Ken Lucas: Round 2 Pick 40

S: Adrian Wilson: Round 3 Pick 64

S: Dwight Smith: Round 3 Pick 84

Minnesota Vikings season preview


Last years record: 6-10 (3rd in division)

Coach: Brad Childress


Key Addition: The Vikings didn't have many key additions this off-season. Mike Doss should be a backup safety and could make an impact on special teams.


Key Loss: Jermaine Wiggins, a very reliable tight end as he always caught 60 passes and was a good leader in the locker room. Now they will start Jimmy Kleinsasser to replace him and that is a big drop off.


Draft: The Vikings have tons of potential in this draft and if they are the top of the division in a couple years they will look back at this class. Adrian Peterson out of Oklahoma has the ability to be a great all around back and should split carries this year with Chester Taylor. Sidney Rice out of South Carolina has loads of athleticism and with the Vikings weak receivers he could start this year. Fresno State corner Marcus McCauley could start in a few years and was considered a first round talent before his disappointing senior campaign. Defensive end Brian Robison from Texas is a good athlete and should make an impact on special teams this year. My sleeper of the draft class though is East Carolina receiver Aundrae Allison. He was a first day talent slipped to the 5th round. He is very fast and is good after the catch and reminds me of Chad Johnson.


Offense: If Tarvaris Jackson develops this year into a solid quarterback the Vikings could have a good offense. Jackson showed potential and is an all around athlete but if he performs like he did in a prime time game against the Packers where he only had 40 yards they are in trouble. The running game could be one of the best in the league as Chester Taylor had over 1200 yards last year along with 6 touchdowns. He shouldn't get as much work this year though as Adrian Peterson could end up being the starter by the end of the year. Steve Hutchinson leads an impressive offensive line,however if the passing game doesn't improve teams will go 8 in the box against them. The receivers are very young and need work. Troy Williamson was a top 10 pick a few years ago and had a hard time catching deep balls losing them in the lights. He went to Nike for vision help but if that doesn't work out he could be out of the league after this year. That would open the door for Sidney Rice to get reps who at 6'3" also a great red zone target.


Defense: This unit is very underrated as they were the best team in the league at stopping the run. The defensive tackle tandem of Kevin and Pat Williams gave offenses nightmares as they clogged up the run and Kevin also had 5 sacks. Linebacker E.J. Henderson had a career year last season getting over 100 tackles and he should build on that performance this year. The Corners are solid as Antoine Winfield is a shutdown corner while Cedric Griffin is improving and could be a solid starter in a year or two. The highlight though is Darren Sharper who had 4 interceptions last year and is one of the best safeties in the game.


Fantasy Studs: Chester Taylor RB: Taylor could have a good year if he doesn't have to give carries to Peterson at the beginning of the season. When getting the majority of carries he should be a low no.2 back but when sharing he is a no.3.
Adrian Peterson RB: Peterson might not have a huge impact right away but when he gets the majority of the carries he is worth starting as a no.2 back. For now he is a no.3 and he could help you big time in the playoffs.


Prediciton: The Vikings are lucky that this division is so bad that even if they get 7 wins they could place second. Nobody would be suprised if this happens but unless Jackson improves as a quarterback I don't think it will . My prediction is 5-11 and last place in the division.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

This just in: Oliver selected by Chargers, Gaither by Ravens


Only two players were selected in the supplemental draft as Georgia cornerback Paul Oliver was picked with a 4th rounder by the Chargers and massive Maryland offensive lineman Jared Gaither was selected with a 5th rounder by the Ravens. Both players could be potential steals as Oliver was the only player who could stop Calvin Johnson other then Reggie Ball. While Gaither could start in a couple years as Johnathan Ogden is getting older. The Chargers have had past luck in the supplemental draft before selecting all pro defensive tackle Jamal Williams a few years back. Either way both of these guys could have big impacts on there teams in the near future.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Green Bay Packers season preview



Last years record: 8-8
Coach: Mike McCarthy

Key Addition: Honestly when your only free agency pickup is Frank Walker it won't get to many high grades. Walker at best should be a nickel back.

Key Loss: Ahman Green RB: Green was a solid player for a lot of seasons for the Packers and that is why it's sad to see him go. Green still has the ability to be a 1000 yard back but the Packers seem to now be in rebuilding mode.

Draft: If the Packers traded down a few spots in the first round it would be considered a good draft. Justin Harrell is a good player who should start in a year or two but he was a reach at 16. Brandon Jackson out of Nebraska should be an impact player this season and could possibly start right away at running back. Also Mason Crosby should also be a upgrade in the kicking game and could be an all pro kicker for a long time.

Offense: If this is the end for Brett Favre this might not be the way he will want it to end. The offense is in a rebuilding stage as Vernand Morency might not be able to carry the load and rookie Brandon Jackson might not be ready. The offensive line is also pretty young so Favre could be on his back a lot. The bright spot though is the receivers as Donald Driver is one of the most consistent receivers in the league.Second year starter Greg Jennings had some injuries last year but other then that was solid with 600 yards and 3 touchdowns. He should have around 1000 yards this year.

Defense: This unit is very underrated as Aaron Kampman led a solid defensive line with 15 sacks last year. Cullen Jenkins is also very underrated and could have a breakout season. AJ Hawk could also have a great sophomore campaign and Nick Barnett should also have a big impact. The corner tandem is also very good as Al Harris is a shutdown corner while Charles Woodson was among the top in the league in interceptions.

Fantasy Studs: Brett Favre QB: Favre is near the end of the line of his career but he can still put up solid fantasy numbers. He throws around 30 times a game and could get around 4000 yards. The only problem is the interceptions. So he should be a no.2 quarterback.

Brandon Jackson RB: Jackson should get the majority of carries by the end of the year and is likely to have a big impact. He is good at catching out of the backfield and could be useful in the fantasy playoffs. That makes him a low no.3 running back for now.

Donald Driver WR: Driver is one of the top receivers every year and that shouldn't change. Driver also caught over 90 passes last year which is great for a reception league. He should be a great no.2 option for your fantasy team.

Prediction: The Packers could do well in a relatively weak division and they could make a run at the wild card. The thing is I think Favre is about done and they are currently in the rebuilding stage which could be rough. My prediction is 6-10 and 3rd in the division.

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Detroit Lions season preview


Last years record: 3-13 (last place in division)
Coach: Rob Marinelli
Key additions: Dewayne White DE: White is a solid player who is familiar with Marinelli's defensive system coming from the Bucs. He is very young and has potential to become a premiere pass rusher.
Tatum Bell RB: If Kevin Jones isn't fully healthy from his terrible foot injury, Bell should be the starter. Bell is a solid back but anyone would look good running for the Broncos. If Bell has a good season, then people would notice his play wasn't a fluke.
Key Loss: Dre Bly CB: Bly was a locker room cancer for the Lions at times but he is a shut down corner when healthy. He is great in man to man coverage and should make a great duo with Champ Bailey in Denver.
Draft: This may be looked upon as the draft that finally helped the Lions turn the corner. Calvin Johnson is a once a decade receiver prospect and should make an immediate impact and become an all pro receiver in a year or two. Michigan State quarterback Drew Stanton could also become a solid player if he gets a good grip of Mike Martz's offense and could start when called upon in a few years. Ikaika Alama-Francis could also make an impact in a few years and has double digit sack potential. So if Stanton to Johnson becomes one of the most feared connections in the league, the Lions would have a good draft.
Offense: When looking at this offense you must sometimes wonder if Mike Martz plays fantasy football because this unit could be fun to watch. Jon Kitna might not be the long term answer but is a solid player who can put up numbers and is a great leader. If Kevin Jones returns healthy, he and Tatum Bell could make a solid duo to improve on the 32nd ranked rushing attack. The receiving corps could be great as Roy Williams had a pro bowl season last year and is only improving. Plus Mike Furrey had over 100 receptions last year and possibly could be the number 3 receiver. Also look for them to use 4 receiver sets with new addition Shaun McDonald from the Rams.
Defense: The Lions defense was pretty bad last year ranking 28th in the league. Ernie Sims was a good surprise last year and should become one of the leaders of the defense. The defensive tackle tandem of Shaun Rogers and Corey Redding is pretty solid. Redding had a breakout campaign last year with 8 sacks. Expect the same this year. The only problem is Rogers as he sometimes takes plays off and has underachieved the last couple seasons. Plus the team can't be happy with his legal troubles. The defensive backs are very inexperienced. Honestly, how many teams would have Stanley Wilson and Travis Fisher as starting corners? Not exactly a duo thats going to stop pass happy attacks.
Fantasy Studs: Jon Kitna QB: Kitna could be a great sleeper pick this year as he gets lots of yards and with his receivers he could have lots of touchdowns. If Kitna cuts down on interceptions, he should be a no.1 quarterback.
RB: Neither Kevin Jones or Tatum Bell are worth starting at this point considering the Lions play a lot from behind and don't get to establish the running game. If the offense gets rolling though one of them could end up being a good starting back with Marshall Faulk like numbers.
Roy Williams WR: Williams is slowly becoming one of the premiere receivers in the league. That should continue this year as he now has even more weapons on his team. He should have similar numbers to last year and should be a low no.1 or high no.2 starter.
Calvin Johnson WR: Johnson could possibly have a huge rookie campaign. The question is if how much impact he will have his first couple games. He is a good no.3 receiver for now possibly becoming a 2.
Prediction: The Lions should be much improved from last season as they now have the potential to be one of the most explosive offenses in the league. If the defense plays well it could be a solid season. But knowing the Lions management even if they don't live up to expectations Matt Millen will stick around. My prediction is 7-9 and second place in the division. That's also good enough to give Millen a contract extension.

Monday, July 09, 2007

Chicago Bears season preview


Last years record: 13-3 (lost super bowl)
Coach: Lovie Smith


Key Addition: The Bears didn't really add any free agents this season except for a overpaid safety in Adam Archuleta. He could start but he won't have that much of an impact.

Key Loss: Thomas Jones RB: Jones was always reliable when needed and helped lead a strong Bears rushing attack. Either way though Cedric Benson a former top 5 pick would have taken his job.


Draft: The Bears' draft has potential to be a good one as the first three picks should all make an impact this season. Greg Olsen is a great pass catching tight end who could start by the end of the year. Dan Bazuin of Central Michigan could be a solid situational pass rusher and become a goo d player. Garrett Wolfe the running back out of Northern Illinois could be a great 3rd down running back as he is a threat to score every time he touches the ball.

Offense: The main thing for the Bears is can Rex Grossman be consistent for a whole season? If he is it could be another good season for the Bears. Cedric Benson who is now the starting running back could have a solid season as he had 650 yards last year on 150 carries. Bernard Berrian should become a number one receiver as Mushin Muhammed is getting older. Berrian is a great deep threat and could have 1000 yards this year. The tight ends should also get involved as Desmond Clark had over 600 yards and Olsen should contribute immediately. Plus the explosive Devin Hester is going to get involved and could score a couple touchdowns and be a great decoy at times.


Defense: If Lance Briggs returns after his contract situation and doesn't hold out, the Bears defense could be just as good as last year. The only departure is Tank Johnson who had so many criminal problems they didn't want him on the team. Brian Urlacher should have another pro bowl season while corners Nathan Vasher and Charles Tillman continue to improve. Plus second year defensive end Mark Anderson could have another double digit sack season. If all of that happens with the Bears, you could be seeing them in the NFC Championship come January.

Fantasy Studs:
Cedric Benson RB: Benson could have an 1000 yard season as he gets to breakout in the starting role. Plus playing the Lions and Packers doesn't hurt. He should be a no.2 running back for your team.

Bernard Berrian WR: Berrian had a breakout season last year but this one could be even better. He should have 1000 yards and maybe 6 touchdowns which would make him a very solid no.3 receiver and a low no.2.

Prediction: The Bears are still the class of the division and none of the other teams did that much to get better. My prediction is 11-5 and first place in the division.

Sunday, July 08, 2007

Fantasy Football top 10 defenses


Last year defenses played a big role in deciding fantasy games. You have to remember that in some leagues you also own the team's special teams and if a kick is returned for a touchdown you get the points. So here are my top 10 fantasy defenses.
1. Baltimore Ravens: If this unit is around when you're picking in round 6 you should definitely take them as they well get you more points then any number 3 receiver. The Ravens always score at least 5 defensive touchdowns a year. They also record lots of sacks and interceptions. The addition of rookie return man Yamon Figurs should help as he will have Devin Hester like impact on the return game.
2. Chicago Bears: The defense isn't as good as the Ravens but you get even more return touchdowns. Devin Hester had 6 last year and should get around 3 this year. Plus they play offenses like the Vikings twice a year so expect solid numbers all around the board.
3. San Diego Chargers: points from sacks can decide the winner and loser of a game. If you have the Chargers you won't have to worry about that. The Chargers led the NFL in sacks last year with 61. Plus Shawne Merriman should have another great season unless he fails another drug test. The special teams is a little weak but the sacks will make up for it.
4. New England Patriots: The Patriots had a solid defense last year but with new addition Adelius Thomas they are one of the top fantasy defenses. This year expect a lot more sacks and if Asante Samuel returns, some interceptions. Wes Welker will also help out on special teams.
5. Denver Broncos: The Broncos defense was a little inconsistent last year but now that they have Dre Bly opposite Champ Bailey they will be almost impossible to throw on. Expect some solid sack numbers with lots of interceptions and maybe a couple return touchdowns.
6. Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys new coach Wade Phillips was the guy who made Shawne Merriman a star. Now it's DeMarcus Ware's turn. Ware had a solid season last year but he should have around 15 sacks this year. With that, along with Terence Newman becoming a shut down corner you should have a definite number 1 defense.
7. Miami Dolphins: Other than Jason Taylor there aren't many other players who will get you serious fantasy points. Either way they are a solid number 1 defense as they don't allow that many points or yards and Taylor is so versatile he will score at least one touchdown and the team should get at least 18 interceptions.
8. Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles always get lots of sacks because of their ability to blitz. The addition of Takeo Spikes should also help with sacks and Lito Sheppard should get lots of interceptions. They should be used as a no.1 defense.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags don't allow too many yards as they have a great defensive line and a shutdown corner in Rashean Mathis. If they get a couple return touchdowns as Maurice Jones-Drew should help run back kicks. They should definitely be a starting unit.
10. Carolina Panthers: This unit didn't live up to there potential last year but Julius Peppers and company should rebound this year as they get lots of sacks and they have very good corners in Ken Lucas and Chris Gamble. If Peppers has a good year and the corners improve, they should be a starting unit.

Saturday, July 07, 2007

2003 all draft team


The last draft i analyzed was the 2002 draft and that was a washout where some key positions were weak on talent. This draft is loaded on talent and could be very interesting so here is my 2003 all draft team.
Offense

QB: Carson Palmer Round 1 Pick 1
RB: Willis McGahee Round 1 Pick 23
RB: Larry Johnson Round 1 Pick 27
WR: Andre Johnson Round 1 Pick 3
WR: Anquan Boldin Round 2 Pick 54
TE: L.J. Smith Round 2 Pick 61
T: Jordan Gross Round 1 Pick 8
G: Eric Steinbach Round 2 Pick 33
C: Dan Koppen Round 5 Pick 164
G: Vince Manuwai Round 3 Pick 72
T: Tony Pashos Round 5 Pick 173

Defense:

DE: Terrell Suggs Round 1 Pick 10
DT: Kevin Williams Round 1 Pick 9
DT: Cory Redding Round 3 Pick 66
DE: Robert Mathis Round 5 Pick 138
LB: Lance Briggs Round 3 Pick 68
LB: Nick Barnett Round 1 Pick 29
LB: Cato June Round 6 Pick 198
CB: Rashean Mathis Round 2 Pick 39
CB: Asante Samuel Round 4 Pick 120
S: Troy Polamalu Round 1 Pick 16
S: Ken Hamlin Round 2 Pick 42

2002 all draft team


If you look back at this draft you can see some of these picks are by default. This was definitely a terrible quarterback class as Carr isn't even that great but compared to the rest of the guys he looks like a stud. It was also a weak class for linebackers. Lets just say except for some defensive players this wasn't that great a draft.


Offense


QB: David Carr Round 1 Pick 1

RB: Clinton Portis Round 2 Pick 51

RB: Brian Westbrook Round 3 Pick 91

WR: Javon Walker Round 1 Pick 20

WR: Deion Branch Round 2 Pick 65

TE: Jeremy Shockey Round 1 Pick 14

T: Bryant McKinnie Round 1 Pick 7

G: Kendall Simmons Round 1 Pick 30

C: LeCharles Bentley Round 2 Pick 44

G: Toniu Fonoti Round 2 Pick 39

T: Levi Jones Round 1 Pick 10


Defense

DE: Dwight Freeney Round 1 Pick 11

DT: Rocky Bernard Round 5 Pick 146

DT: John Henderson Round 1 Pick 9

DE: Julius Peppers Round 1 Pick 2

LB: Larry Foote Round 4 Pick 128

LB: Napoleon Harris Round 1 Pick 23

LB: David Thornton Round 4 Pick 106

CB: Lito Sheppard Round 1 Pick 26

CB: Brian Williams Round 4 Pick 105

S: Roy Williams Round 1 Pick 8

S: Ed Reed Round 1 Pick 24

2002 draft review picks 21- 32


21.New England Patriots: Daniel Graham TE Colorado: Graham was predicted to be an every down tight end but that hasn't quite happened. He has been mainly been used around the goalline and he has gotten over 20 career touchdowns. He is now the highest paid tight end in the league after signing with the Broncos this offseason. Considering how his career has been so far he wasn't worth the money.

22. New York Jets: Bryan Thomas DE UAB: Coming out every analyst thought Thomas was a huge reach. For the most part they were right as he only has 15 career sacks. He may be turning the corner though as he had 8.5 last year. He should continue to be a starting linebacker in the Jets 3-4 this year.

23.Oakland Raiders: Napoleon Harris LB Northwestern: Harris was predicted to have an impact right away and he has had a couple good seasons. He is best known though for going to the Vikings in the Randy Moss trade a few years back. Now though he should be the starting middle linebacker for the Chiefs.

24. Baltimore Ravens: Ed Reed S Miami(FL): Many people viewed Reed as a talent with legal troubles. Well they were right about one thing, he does have talent. Reed has been to multiple pro bowls and has become a leader on the best defense in the league. Plus 30 interceptions in 5 years isn't a bad value.

25. New Orleans Saints: Charles Grant DE Georgia: Grant has been a very solid player so far in his career averaging 7 sacks a year. That was the knock on him coming out that he was very consistent but not great. Those numbers are worthy of the late 1st round selection that he was.

26. Philadelphia Eagles: Lito Sheppard CB Eagles: This was a steal for the Eagles as Sheppard was the 3rd cornerback chosen and he is the only one of the three to have gone to the pro bowl. Sheppard has now gotten the reputation of a shut down corner and should have another great season.

27. San Francisco 49ers: Mike Rumph CB Miami(FL): Rumph was supposed to be a shutdown corner coming into the league but he has been the total opposite. Rumph had become a target for most teams as they always throw on him when given the opportunity. He has had a hard time staying on a team so far and he is now trying to make it as a backup on the Rams.

28. Seattle Seahawks: Jerramy Stevens TE Washington: Stevens for the most part has been a complete bust as he has dropped lots of passes and is a locker room cancer. He is the third player in the first round to be best known for an altercation with Joey Porter. Stevens is now fighting to make the Bucs and try and live up to his potential there.

29. Chicago Bears: Marc Colombo T Boston College: Coming out Colombo was a monster tackle who was predicted to start immediately. He didn't start right away but he has now become a starting tackle for the Cowboys and should take over that role this year.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kendall Simmons G Auburn: Simmons has ended up coming a quality guard who won a super bowl ring on the Steelers a couple years ago. He should start this year for the Steelers and could be an impact on the team for another 8 years or so.

31. St.Louis Rams: Robert Thomas LB UCLA: Coming out Thomas was a very fast linebacker who had potential to be a great player. Well that never quite happened as he has bounced around the league and has been on three teams in 5 years primarily as a special teams player. He is now on the Raiders.

32. Washington Redskins: Patrick Ramsey QB Tulane: Lets just say this wasn't the best quarterback class to enter the NFL as none of the first rounders have panned out yet. Ramsey is proof of that as he was the first draft pick in the Steve Spurrier era. Ramsey so far has been an average NFL quarterback at best and this year will be a backup to Jay Cutler on the Broncos.

2002 draft review picks 11-20


11.Indianapolis Colts: Dwight Freeney DE Syracuse: The thing on Freeney coming out was that he was undersized but very fast off the edge. Well that combination has made him an all-pro defensive end. So far he has 57 career sacks including 13 in his rookie year. Plus he is the highest drafted player so far from this class to have won a super bowl.


12. Arizona Cardinals: Wendall Bryant DT Wisconsin: When the Cardinals selected Bryant they were expecting a player who could clog the line for around a decade and would improve the defense. Well lets just say that didn't happen as Bryant is now out of the league after being cut in training camp in 2005. Shows you how much a B+ from Mel Kiper matters now.

13. New Orleans Saints: Donte' Stallworth WR Tennessee: Stallworth was supposed to be a burner coming out of Tennessee but lots of nagging injuries slowed him down and that brought him to the Eagles last year where he averaged almost 20 yards a catch. Now he is on the Patriots and should be a number 2 receiver. But considering where he was picked he hasn't shown. no.1 receiver numbers. Especially considering Javon Walker was picked at no.20.

14. New York Giants: Jeremy Shockey TE Miami(FL): Shockey has changed the tight end position in many ways. He won the Pepsi rookie of the year and provided much controversy in the locker room. Shockey has been to multiple pro bowls but now it seems like his ego is getting in the way as he often criticizes coaches for not getting him the ball. But even if Shockey's best seasons are behind him, he will be known for changing the tight end position for guys like Antonio Gates and Kellen Winslow.

15. Tennessee Titans:Albert Haynesworth DT Tennessee: When a top 15 pick is best known for stepping on Cowboys center Andre Gurode's head you know your career isn't headed in the right direction. Haynesworth was predicted to be a very dominant player in the NFL but hasn't lived up to the billing yet. If he doesn't improve along with his temper he could be out of the league in a couple years.

16. Cleveland Browns: William Green RB Boston College: Coming out I thought Green would be a star and become a key player for the Browns. Well me and every analyst were wrong. He is the second player on this list to be best known for a fight with Joey Porter this one occurred during pre -game warm ups. So he is now a free agent hoping to get back in the league.

17. Oakland Raiders: Phillip Buchanon CB Miami (FL): This looked like a great pick for the Raiders as he has everything they want in a player, a criminal record and speed. Buchanon had potential to be a very good player but his best trait has been his punt returning ability. He is now fighting to make it on the Bucs.

18. Atlanta Falcons: T.J. Duckett RB Michigan State: Duckett was predicted to be a Jerome Bettis type back. In a way they were right as Duckett has primarily become a goal line back but hasn't been able to carry a full load. He is now on the Lions where he could get carries as the running back position is unsettled.

19. Denver Broncos: Ashley Lelie WR Hawaii: Lelie was supposed to be a burner who happened to have great size (6'4). That is what sold the Broncos but it was a big mistake. He had one 1000 yard season for them but for the most part he was a disappointment. He is now on the 49'ers where he will look to become a no.2 receiver.

20. Green Bay Packers: Javon Walker WR Florida St : Walker was one of the steals of round one as he has became the best receiver of the draft class. Walker had a couple injury problems but after last year it looks like he is at full strength. Walker is a great all around receiver and should have another solid season for the Broncos.

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

Washington Redskins season preview


Last years record: 5-11 (last place)
Coach: Joe Gibbs
Key Addition: London Fletcher-Baker LB: Fletcher-Baker is a tackling machine who came from the Bills. He also should be leader in the locker room. He can also help teach the young linebackers like Rocky McIntosh to help read coverages and offensive formations.

Key Loss: The Redskins really didn't have any huge losses this offseason except for an overpaid safety in Adam Archuleta and kicker John Hall.

Draft: Except for one pick this wasn't a really good draft for the Redskins. LSU safety LaRon Landry is a very good player but when they already have Sean Taylor it wasn't a huge need but now no receiver will want to go over the middle. The rest of the players like Carson Palmer's brother Jordan a quarterback from UTEP could be solid backups.

Offense: This offense has a lot of potential as they have a young quarterback in Jason Campbell who finally got experience last year. He could have a solid year but until proven should be a no.2 quarterback in fantasy football. Their two headed monster at running back could be very explosive. Ladell Betts had over 1000 yards last year while Clinton Portis is an all-pro back who when not battling injuries is a great breakaway threat. The receivers are very fast but are very small compared to most teams. Santana Moss is an elusive receiver who can score anytime he touches the ball. Brandon Lloyd is also a very talented player who hasn't fully lived up to his potential. Their most consistent receiver though may be tight end Chris Cooley who should have another solid year.

Defense: On paper this defense looks really good but last year it was 31st in total defense. Other then Taylor and Fletcher-Baker the defense has been for the most part underachieving considering how much Dan Snyder payed some of these players in free agency. Except cornerback Carlos Rogers to have a solid year and establish himself as a number 1 corner worthy of the ninth pick in the draft a couple years ago.

Fantasy Studs: Clinton Portis RB: Considering they have two solid backs Portis should be used as a no.2 fantasy back if healthy. If they split carries he could have around 1000 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Ladell Betts RB: Betts' situation is very similar to Portis and should also be used as a no. 2 back and if you have a deep team possibly a no.3. Expect similar numbers to Portis but if Portis gets hurt definitely use Betts as a no.2.

Chris Cooley TE: Cooley is a big target who should have another solid year. If you have him on your team he should be a solid no.1 tight end.

Prediction: The Redskins are a solid team but the NFC east is so tough they will have a very difficult time trying to get to the playoffs. My prediction is 7-9 and 3rd place in the division.

Philadelphia Eagles season preview


Last Years record: 10-6 (divison winner)
Coach: Andy Reid


Key Additions Kevin Curtis WR: Curtis is a very solid player to have on your football team as he is a smart player who runs savvy routes and is a burner with his 4.3 speed. Considering how often the Eagles throw the ball he should be a great help.

Takeo Spikes LB: If Spikes is half the player he was when he made the pro bowl on the Bills the Eagles got a good deal. Spikes could be an injury risk but barring injury he could play a big part on how the Eagles do this year.


Key Loss:Jeff Garcia QB: With Garcia's departure the Eagles no longer have a reliable backup for if Donavan McNabb gets injured. When given the oppurtunity last year Garcia did great so for the Eagles it was a shame to let him go.


Draft: This draft has a lot of potential for the Eagles as they drafted many players that will eventuallly replace the veteran in front of them. All of the Eagles fans booed when they selected quarterback Kevin Kolb with there first selection in the second round. Last time the fans booed like that it was when someone named Donavan McNabb was drafted. Kolb should eventually be the starter and could be a good player. Linebacker Stewart Bradley out of Nebaska should make an early impact as well. Running Back Tony Hunt out of Penn State should be a good contributor also as he is very similar to Correll Buckhalter.


Offense: The Eagles have the oppurtunity to have a very explosive offense this season as Donavan McNabb says he is fully healthy and Brian Westbrook should have another big year and get over 1000 yards and around 80 catches. That could lead to a breakout year for receiver Reggie Brown as he will be the go to guy in a pass oriented offense. LJ Smith could also have a big year as McNabb likes getting him involved if all of this happens they could have one of the best offenses in the league.


Defense: The defense should have a solid year as Jim Johnson runs lots of exotic blitz schemes that make offenses crazy. If Jevon Kearse is healthy he could get double digit sacks and Mike Patterson is a big presence clogging up the line. The Linebackers are also solid led by Jeremiah Trotter and Takeo Spikes. Led by Lito Sheppard and Brian Dawkins the secondary is one of the best in the league. Sheppard gets lots if interceptions and Dawkins is one of the best leaders in the game.


Fantasy studs: Donavan McNabb QB: If McNabb is healthy he is one of the best fantasy quarterbacks in the game. With the Eagles passing about 70 percent of the time he is definitley a no.1 quarterback.

Brian Westbrook RB: Westbrook was a fantasy stud last year as he put up big rushing yards and receiving yards also staying healthy for a whole season doesn't hurt either. Expect more of the same this year and if you have him he should be a no.1 back.

Reggie Brown WR: Brown is one of the examples of a third year receiver who should have a breakout campaign. He could end up with around 1000 yards and 6 touchdowns which would make him a good no.2 receiver.

Prediction: A lot of the season depends on if McNabb is healthy and if he is it could be another division championship for the Eagles. If he isn't healthy it could be a difficult year for the Eagles as AJ Feeley or Kevin Kolb might not be the answer this year. My prediction is 10-6 if McNabb is healthy and they would contend for the division title with the Cowboys.