Saturday, September 19, 2009

Fbkid's Week 2 Predictions


The first week of the NFL season was an eventful one and it gave us the opportunity to see what teams look for real and what ones seem to be all preseason hype. The Packers became a trendy team to win the NFC and they showed why winning a rivalry game at home against the Bears and playing very solid defense. On the other hand, the Texans who were supposed to be this year's Cardinals, looked bad on both sides of the ball and weren't able to get either Andre Johnson or Steve Slaton going. Here are my week two picks.

Game of the weak: Browns vs Broncos: If last week was any indication, this game won't be very entertaining. Who would have thought that the Broncos could start off the year 2-0?

Game of the week: Patriots vs Jets: This is the first of what should be many Tom Brady vs Mark Sanchez matchups. This game could be a real turning point in both of their seasons.

Last week: 13-3
Season: 13-3

Panthers 13 Falcons 24
Vikings 27 Lions 17
Bengals 14 Packers 23
Cardinals 20 Jaguars 24
Raiders 21 Chiefs 17
Patriots 26 Jets 20
Saints 28 Eagles 14
Texans 14 Titans 20
Rams 10 Redskins 21
Bucs 17 Bills 23
Seahawks 24 49ers 20
Steelers 20 Bears 14
Browns 13 Broncos 17
Ravens 20 Chargers 23
Giants 26 Cowboys 21
Colts 27 Dolphins 14

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Fbkid's Week 1 Fantasy Studs


Fantasy football is more popular then ever so it is only fitting that I carry on my positional fantasy stud rankings. The catch is that unlike some things you may read, the players I will be mentioning won't be ones who you took in the first three rounds of the draft. So if you are expecting me to go out on a limb and say that you should start Adrian Peterson this week, this isn't for you. Here are my week one fantasy studs and I hope everyone does well in their leagues this year.

QB: Matthew Stafford vs Saints: As crazy as it sounds to mention a rookie quarterback in his first career start, Stafford could put up big numbers against the Saints in his pro debut. This game will have lots of scoring and considering how explosive the Saints offense is, they will probably be playing from behind. Again, he is unproven and would be best used if your quarterback has a bad week one matchup (ex: Matt Cassel vs Ravens). Don't be surprised if Stafford throws for around 200 yards and two touchdowns.

RB: Cedric Benson vs Broncos: Many people heading into the year weren't very high on Benson, but he has an excellent week one matchup. He goes against a Broncos defense that allowed almost 150 yards a game on the ground last year. If the Bengals play up to their potential and the Broncos are as bad as they seem to be, he will get a lot of touches. Expect around 120 total yards and a touchdown.

WR: Anthony Gonzalez vs Jaguars: The Jaguars are an interesting team to figure out for fantasy owners. They usually shut down the opposing team's top receiver but another player always steps up and has a big game. This week it should be Gonzalez. He is now the Colts number two receiver and will be going against the talented but inexperienced rookie Derek Cox. Knowing Peyton Manning, look for him to pick on the rookie and find Gonzalez early and often. Expect around 80 yards and a touchdown.

TE: John Carlson vs Rams: Carlson was very impressive as a rookie and he did most of his damage without Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback. Now Hasselbeck is healthy and the Seahawks are going against a young, rebuilding defense in the Rams. Expect around 60 yards and a touchdown.

K: Nate Kaeding vs Raiders: If we learned anything this offseason, it's that the Raiders are very dysfunctional and they don't play much defense. They now open the season against one of the league's best offenses in the Chargers. Kaeding should get plenty of attempts and even if they are extra points, they start to add up. Expect around four extra points, and two field goals.

D: Seahawks vs Rams: Like the defense, the Rams offense needs to improve. The Seahawks defense is now healthy and should take advantage of an offense that is relatively inexperienced. Expect around 4 sacks and two interceptions.

Fbkid's Week 1 Predictions


The 2009 season got off to a very good start the other night with the physical Titans Steelers game. Week one is the hardest to predict as your not sure what teams will come out strong and which ones will come out flat. Here are my week one picks and it's good to have football back.

Game of the weak: Rams vs Seahawks: I have the Seahawks as a playoff team, but this could be a pretty ugly game.

Game of the week: Bears vs Packers: This is as big as it gets for a week one game. One of the league's best rivalries and Jay Cutler's Bears debut should only add fuel to the fire.

Last year: 159-97-1

Dolphins 16 Falcons 24
Chiefs 10 Ravens 21
Eagles 24 Panthers 20
Broncos 14 Bengals 23
Vikings 20 Browns 13
Jets 17 Texans 28
Jaguars 14 Colts 20
Lions 21 Saints 31
Cowboys 23 Bucs 13
49ers 17 Cardinals 20
Redskins 14 Giants 21
Rams 10 Seahawks 24
Bears 20 Packers 28
Bills 14 Patriots 35
Chargers 35 Raiders 14

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Titans vs Steelers Prediction


Before the game started, I wanted to post my prediction for tonight's game. Usually I post all the games at once, but my predictions for the other games along with my fantasy studs will be posted in the next day or two. My prediction for the game is Titans 13 Steelers 24.

Fbkid's 2009 NFL Predictions


It has been a seven month wait, but the NFL season is finally here. Every team now starts off with a clean slate and they all think this is the year they will finally make the Super Bowl. Here are my predictions for the 2009 NFL season.

AFC East:
Patriots 13-3
Jets 7-9
Bills 6-10
Dolphins 5-11

AFC North
Steelers 11-5
Ravens 10-6
Bengals 7-9
Browns 3-13

AFC South
Colts 11-5
Texans 10-6
Titans 8-8
Jaguars 6-10

AFC West
Chargers 12-4
Raiders 6-10
Chiefs 5-11
Broncos 4-12

NFC East
Giants 11-5
Eagles 10-6
Cowboys 8-8
Redskins 7-9

NFC North
Packers 12-4
Vikings 10-6
Bears 8-8
Lions 5-11

NFC South
Saints 11-5
Falcons 9-7
Panthers 7-9
Bucs 5-11

NFC West
Seahawks 10-6
Cardinals 8-8
49ers 7-9
Rams 4-12

Regular Season Awards:

MVP: Tom Brady QB Patriots
Offensive rookie of the year: Mark Sanchez QB Jets
Defensive rookie of the year: Aaron Curry LB Seahawks
Offensive player of the year: Drew Brees QB Saints
Defensive player of the year: DeMarcus Ware LB Cowboys
Comeback player of the year: Chris Henry WR Bengals

Playoffs:

Wildcard weekend:
NFC: Vikings 17 Saints 27, Eagles 26 Seahawks 20
AFC: Texans 21 Colts 28, Steelers 23 Ravens 14

Divisonal Playoffs:
NFC: Saints 20 Giants 24, Eagles 14 Packers 27
AFC: Colts 31 Patriots 35, Steelers 21 Chargers 27

Conference Championship:
Giants 24 Packers 21
Chargers 26 Patriots 35

Super Bowl:
Giants 20 Patriots 28

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Fbkid's Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Quarterbacks


As the preseason comes to an end, more and more people are having their fantasy drafts which is why I am releasing my cheat sheets for every position. The first installment is quarterback and the rest will be posted later today. Hopefully these help you at your drafts.




Quarterbacks:
1. Drew Brees Saints 5
2. Tom Brady Patriots 8
3. Peyton Manning Colts 6
4. Philip Rivers Chargers 5
5. Aaron Rodgers Packers 5
6. Matt Ryan Falcons 4
7. Kurt Warner Cardinals 4
8. Carson Palmer Bengals 8
9. Donovan McNabb Eagles 4
10. Tony Romo Cowboys 6
11. Jay Cutler Bears 5
12. Ben Roethlisberger Steelers 8
13. Matt Hasselbeck Seahawks 7
14. Matt Schaub Texans 10
15. Matt Cassel Chiefs 8
16. Eli Manning Giants 10
17. Trent Edwards Bills 9
18. Joe Flacco Ravens 7
19. Brett Favre Vikings 9
20. David Garrard Jaguars 7
21. Chad Pennington Dolphins 6
22. Kyle Orton Broncos 7
23. Jason Campbell Redskins 8
24. JaMarcus Russell Raiders 9
25. Shaun Hill 49ers 6
26. Mark Sanchez Jets 9
27. Marc Bulger Rams 9
28. Jake Delhomme Panthers 4
29. Kerry Collins Titans 7
30. Brady Quinn Browns 9

Friday, August 14, 2009

Fbkid's All Twitter Team


When people look back on the 2009 NFL season and the year in general, one thing that people will remember is Twitter. It has become a world wide phenomenon and in the NFL teams have started fining players if they "tweet" during meetings or from the sidelines.


I finally took the plunge this past week and joined Twitter (username is fbkid if you care to follow). With all the NFL players on Twitter I decided to come up with the first "All Twitter" team with players at every position. I am also putting all the players Twitter usernames in parenthesis so you can follow your favorite player if your not already. Here is my all Twitter team and let me know what players you feel are missing.


QB: Matt Hasselbeck Seahawks: Hasselbeck (MatthewHass008) is one of the few quarterback's on Twitter. He is a frequent poster who responds to fans, talks about football and also talks about his family as well.

RB: Chris Johnson Titans: Johnson (ChrisJohnson28) is a frequent poster who also connects with fans on his Ustream channel. He is one of the more entertaining NFL Tweeters.

RB: Steven Jackson Rams: Jackson (sj39) has compiled almost 2,300 tweets as of now and is very good at answering questions from fans along with telling everyone what is going on around the team.

WR: Chad Ochocinco Bengals: Ochocinco (OGOchocinco) is one of if not the most active NFL player on Twitter. He has compiled over 5,000 tweets and broadcasts almost nightly on his Ustream channel. Ochocinco has also brought fame to the term "child please" which has been made into a shirt by Reebok and will be released soon.

WR: Terrell Owens Bills: Owens (terrellowens) tweets frequently and is one of the most followed athletes on the site with almost 125 thousand followers. He is very good at responding to fans questions and should be one of the more entertaining players on the site during the course of the year.

TE: Martellus Bennett Cowboys: Bennett (MartyBTV)is one of the funniest NFL players on Twitter. He has over 8 thousand tweets along with responding to his fans, talks about football and his random thoughts.

OL: Marcus McNeill Chargers: McNeill (MarcusMcNeill73) is one of the many active Chargers on Twitter. He regularly posts about his thoughts on and off the field which gives you a look inside one of the more underrated players in the game.

OL: Eric Winston Texans: Winston (ericwinston) gives insight to his thoughts about topics ranging from football to music along with interacting with his fans. It should be interesting reading his thoughts during the season as the Texans are a trendy surprise pick in the AFC.

OL: Nick Mangold Jets: Mangold (nickmangold) may take a few days between tweets, but he is good at responding to fans and has also had contests. He tweets about his thoughts on football and other things.

OL: Bryant McKinnie Vikings: McKinnie (bigmacvikings) hasn't been on Twitter as long as some of the other players, but he tweets frequently and is good at responding to fans questions.

OL: Jared Gaither Ravens: Gaither (jaredgaither) also tweets frequently and it should be interesting reading his thoughts as he is an up and coming player who has Pro Bowl potential.

Defense:

DL: Tank Johnson Bengals: Johnson (TankJohnson99) is another Bengal who tweets frequently. To say the least, the Bengals should be a very entertaining team this year.

DL: Darnell Dockett Cardinals: Dockett (ddockett) along with his twitter account also does a show on ustream where he displays his thoughts to fans. He is now selling shirts on his site where part of the proceeds go towards getting gifts for less fortunate kids during the holiday season.

DL: John Thornton Bengals: Thornton (JohnThornton) is another frequent Twitter user on the Bengals. He tweets frequently and is good at responding to fans questions.

LB: Shawne Merriman Chargers: Merriman (shawnemerriman) posts frequently and along with talking to fans, banters back and forth with Chad Ochocinco.

LB: Kawika Mitchell Bills: Mitchell (Ka_Mitchell55) has been tweeting frequently throughout training camp. He brings lots of insight in his posts and considering that the Bills will be one of the most followed team's this season, it will be interesting to see what he says.

LB: Nick Barnett Packers: Barnett (NickBarnett) is one of the league's most active players on Twitter with almost 2000 tweets. He is good at responding to fans and also has contests.

LB: Shaun Phillips Chargers: Phillips (ShaunPhillips95) is another Chargers defender who is active on Twitter. He posts frequently and has also had contests where he gives away tickets to Chargers home games.

CB: Antonio Cromartie Chargers: Cromartie (crimetime31) like his teammate Phillip's has also given away tickets to games on Twitter. He is one of the more entertaining player's to follow on the site.

CB: Fabian Washington Ravens: Washington (FABEWASH31) has posted almost 3 thousand tweets and it doesn't seem like he will stop anytime soon. He is one of the best as far as responding to fans.

S: Kerry Rhodes Jets: Rhodes (kerryrhodes)is another one of the more active players on the site. With over 12 thousand followers, Rhodes has posted almost 3 thousand tweets and is very good at responding to fans.

S: Roy Williams Bengals: Williams (Datboyie) is another Bengal who is very active on Twitter. He has almost 2,700 tweets and posts frequently throughout the day.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Gerald Alexander Interview


Yesterday, I had the opportunity of a lifetime as I had a media pass for the morning Jaguars practice. This was made available to me through my participation with the Sportz Ventures program at my school. My thanks go out to Jennifer Corace, Development Director at Sportz Ventures and Jaguars’ Communications Manager Ryan Robinson who helped coordinate the program.
As part of my “all-access” pass I was able to interview Jaguar safety, Gerald Alexander. He discussed his recent trade to the Jaguars, his experience with the Lions, playing in one of the greatest college football games ever and the Boise State football program.


Fbkid: What is the biggest transition coming from the Lions to the Jaguars?

Gerald Alexander: The way things are done here as far as different plays and things on defense and getting used to the schedule and things like that. Football is football but generally speaking teams do things differently.

FB: What was it like being hurt last season and going through what the Lions did last year?

GA: It was painful both physically and emotionally as far as physically being hurt and then not being able to help my teammates and given what I saw my team go through last year, it was painful to watch and be a part of. It motivates me and I never want it to happen again.

FB:How did you feel about getting traded?

GA: I didn’t know how to feel at first rather if Detroit didn’t want me or that Jacksonville did. Eventually things worked out and I’m happy to be here now.

FB: How was it to be a part of one of the greatest games in college football history?

GA: It’s great now that I look back on it. When your in the emotion of the game you never really think about it but when you look back at it you can see it was one of the greatest games in the history in college football.
Did you ever talk to Adrian Peterson about the game when you played him?
No I never said anything since he’s making a name for himself in the NFL right now but if we ever got together and talk about college, I have one up on him.

FB: What does it feel like for you watching Boise State play now when they get so much national attention?

GA: It’s like being a proud father looking at a son as you were there to help bring the program to where it is now and they are continuing the success that you laid the foundation for and now they are ranked 16th in the country.

FB: What safeties do you watch and try and take things from their game?

GA: Guys that everybody knows about like Ed Reed, Troy Polamalu and Brian Dawkins those guys three of the best safeties playing in the NFL right now try to pick apart the good things they do and try to emulate them in your game.

FB: You’re a big shoe fan, what’s your favorite make of Jordan’s?

GA: I have to say the 11’s because of the patent leather.

FB: How many pairs of shoes do you have?

GA: I have probably over 100 pairs and I gave a lot away. If you look at my closet, it’s ridiculous. It’s like foot locker.


FB: What do you think of your Madden rating?

GA: I don’t even know my madden rating but I was hurt last year so it’s out of sight out of mind so I’m not going to be as good as I think I am but I’m a Madden player and it doesn’t matter. If you go up against me on the controller, you might run into a loss.

Friday, August 07, 2009

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Defensive Backs


Last year Cortland Finnegan and Darrelle Revis emerged as all pro caliber corners and should be Pro Bowl frequenters for years to come. Just like the linemen up front, defensive backs are becoming even more important as the quality of the passing game around the league increases. Here are some defensive backs that I think will breakout this year.


Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie Cardinals: Rodgers-Cromartie showed tons of potential in his first season. He has excellent range and speed along with very good instincts. If Rodgers-Cromartie continues to improve on his performance he should be a Pro Bowl caliber corner for years to come.

Leodis McKelvin Bills: When quarterbacks go up against the Bills, they are going to have to pick their poison. The Bills have one of the league's most underrated and fastest cornerback tandems in McKelvin alongside Terrance McGee. McKelvin got better as the year went on and should continue to improve on his rookie performance. Don't be surprised if he makes the Pro Bowl in the next year or two.

Brandon Flowers Chiefs: Coming out of Virginia Tech, some scouts were doubting how Flowers could transition to the pro game. He is off to a good start in proving them wrong. Flowers was one of the bright spots on a defense that struggled last year and along with Brandon Carr forms one of the league's up and coming cornerback tandems.

Aqib Talib Buccaneers: Talib only started two games in his rookie season, but he was very impressive recording four interceptions and showing a never back down attitude that teams want to see in corners. With the departure of Phillip Buchanon, Talib will be starting opposite Ronde Barber and should learn many tips that could help develop into one of the top young corners in the game.

Leon Hall Bengals: The Bengals defense is improving and Hall is one of the main reasons. Hall and Johnathan Joseph are a very good pair of corners who are both very good in coverage and have good instincts. Hall is also a very good tackler and if the Bengals show that they are a sleeper team, he should start getting the attention he deserves.

Brandon Meriweather Patriots: Meriweather had a huge impact in his second season recording 83 tackles along with four interceptions and two sacks. Now that Rodney Harrison is retired, Meriweather can now take over the starting role and show what he has learned from one of the best to ever play the position. The Patriots defense is mainly consisted of older players so when they start going for a youth movement, look for Meriweather and Jerod Mayo to be two of the building blocks.

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Linebackers


Last year linebackers such as LaMarr Woodley and D'Qwell Jackson emerged as some of the better young linebackers in the league. Woodley was one of the key components of a strong Steelers defense that went on to win the Super Bowl while Jackson had an excellent year and was one of the biggest Pro Bowl snubs. Here are some linebackers that I think will breakout this year.


Lawrence Timmons Steelers: Like his teammate Woodley last year, Timmons has the chance to really breakout into the national spotlight. He only started two games last year and was very effective with 65 tackles and five sacks. Timmons should start this season after the departure of Larry Foote and it wouldn't be surprising if he had double digit sacks on the year.

Keith Rivers Bengals: Rivers is best known for being the receipent of a Hines Ward block that broke his jaw but if it didn't happen, there is a very good chance he could have won rookie of the year. Rivers has great range and is very instinctive and should be one of the building blocks for a Bengals defense that is silently becoming a very good unit.

Anthony Spencer Cowboys: With the departure of Greg Ellis, Spencer now gets to show everybody why the Cowboys took him with a first round pick in 2007. He is very fast off the edge and has learned a lot playing alongside the vetran Ellis. Don't be surprised if he has a season similar to what Woodley did last year.

Tavares Gooden Ravens: Gooden only played in four games last season before suffering a season ending injury, but he now has an excellent opportunity. He has the opportunity to start alongside another former Miami Hurricane who will go down as one of the all time greats in Ray Lewis. Along side Lewis, Gooden should really learn many key tips in how to succeed at the position in the NFL. In other words, this could only be the beginning for him.

Omar Gaither Eagles: Last year Gaither played outside linebacker and was solid with 59 tackles and 2.5 sacks in ten starts. He will now move to the middle as Stewart Bradley suffered a season ending injury and has the opportunity to show everybody his talents. The departure of Bradley for the Eagles defense is a huge one and if Gaither can fill in without any problems, the Eagles have the potential to make a deep run into the playoffs.

Thursday, August 06, 2009

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Defensive Linemen


Last year defensive linemen such as Jay Ratliff and Mathias Kiwanuka emerged and showed that they could be disruptive forces up front. As the league continues to become more passing oriented, it is very important to get young talent to rush the quarterback. Here are some defensive linemen that I think could breakout this year.


Derrick Harvey Jaguars: Due to the long holdout through training camp, Harvey didn't get to show all of his talent in his rookie season. He showed lots of potential but it was very hard to makeup all of the lost practice time. Harvey now has a year of the playbook under his belt and will be depended on to give the Jaguars a consistent pass rusher off the edge. Don't be surprised if he has around 8 sacks this year.

Chris Long Rams: Long played well in his rookie season but should make great strides under Steve Spagnuolo this year. Spagnuolo during his time as defensive coordinator for the Giants was surrounded by great pass rushers such as Michael Strahan, Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck. Look for this to only be the beginning for Long as he will become one of the premiere defensive ends in the league.

Cliff Avril Lions: The Lions defense wasn't very good last year, but Avril's second half performance was a bright spot. In his last six games, Avril had four of his five sacks and showed some of his potential. He is very fast off the edge and should be one of the building blocks as the Lions defense improves.

Jason Jones Titans: After drawing heavy criticism after being drafted in the second round, Jones is showing how he could prove them all wrong. He will be needed to fill the very large shoes that Albert Haynesworth left as the Titans are a team that is dedicated to stopping the run. Jones showed that he can also rush the passer and could become one of the league's better young player's upfront.

Sedrick Ellis Saints: Ellis showed lots of potential in his rookie year and is one of the key component's on an improving Saints defense. He has a very big frame and showed that he can stop the run and rush the passer. Now that Ellis is fully healthy from his arthroscopic surgery, look for him to emerge into one of the top run stoppers in the league.

Wednesday, August 05, 2009

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Tight Ends


Last year tight ends such as Vishante Shiancoe and Anthony Fasano broke out and became key targets in the passing game. Both Shiancoe and Fasano emerged on teams that weren't very deep at receiver and should continue to contribute. Here are some tight ends that I think will breakout this year.

John Carlson Seahawks: Carlson had a very impressive rookie season recording 627 yards and five touchdowns. Those numbers should improve this year as the Seahawks receiving corps is finally healthy and got stronger with the addition of TJ Houshmandzadeh. Don't be surprised if Carlson has around 800 yards and seven touchdowns this season.

Greg Olsen Bears: Olsen was on my breakout list last season, but he should truly breakout in his third season. He now has a reliable quarterback who can get him the ball in Jay Cutler and the Bears don't have many receivers who will take opportunities away from him. It wouldn't be surprising if Olsen made his first Pro Bowl appearence this season.

Brent Celek Eagles: Celek showed flashes of potential last season catching ten passes along with two touchdowns in the NFC Championship. Now that LJ Smith is gone, Celek will be the starter and could have a very big impact. He is a large target with soft hands who will become one of Donovan McNabb's favorite weapons in the red zone.

Dustin Keller Jets: By the end of last year, Keller started showing the potential that could make him a great tight end. Regardless of who starts between Kellen Clemens and Mark Sanchez, a young quarterback will be throwing him the ball and Keller is an excellent safety option. Keller is already one of the better young tight ends in the game and it wouldn't be surprising if he goes to the Pro Bowl this year.

Kevin Boss Giants: Coming out of a school such as Western Oregon, not many fans know who Boss is. That's about to change this year. Even though the receiving corps was addressed this offseason through the draft, the position is still very weak going into the year. As hard as it is to believe, Boss led the team with six touchdown catches last season. Boss should get even more looks this year and will be Eli Manning's primary target until somebody else steps up.

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Wide Receivers


Last year, receivers such as Antonio Bryant, Lance Moore and Steve Breaston all had breakout seasons. Bryant stepped onto the national scene after he didn't even play football in the 2007 season while Moore and Breaston both came out of the shadows for high passing attacks. Here are some receivers who I think will breakout this year.


Donnie Avery Rams: Last year was a very rough one for the Rams but Avery was one of the bright spots. Avery showed during the later part of the season that he could emerge into one of the league's premiere deep threats. Now that Torry Holt is gone, Avery should be the number one receiver and considering the Rams will be playing from behind most of the time, he should put up numbers.

Earl Bennett Bears: Bennett didn't play much in his rookie season, but being reunited with his old college quarterback Jay Cutler has reason for optimism. Bennett and Cutler only played together for one season at Vanderbilt, but they hooked up for 876 yards and nine touchdowns. Considering the lack of depth the Bears have at receiver, it wouldn't be surprising if Bennett emerges as a reliable receiver opposite Devin Hester.

DeSean Jackson Eagles: Jackson had a very solid rookie campaign recording over 900 yards but he sould be an even bigger threat this year. Jackson now has a year under his belt with the offense and with the Eagles looking to throw the ball more, look for Jackson to emerge as a number one receiver. Don't be surprised if he has more then 1200 yards this year.

Mike Walker Jaguars: I am very high on Walker as he was on this list last year as well. If it weren't for injuries and other setbacks there is a very good chance that Walker could have had his breakout season last year. Now Walker should be the starting receiver opposite Torry Holt and doesn't have anyone in his way. Look for Walker's string of bad luck to end and start to emerge in his third season.

Mark Clayton Ravens: Up until last year, the Ravens had really struggled with the passing attack and Clayton showed signs he could be a vertical threat. One play that really stands out is his one handed catch against the Bengals where he went 70 yards for a touchdown. Now that Derrick Mason has retired, look for Clayton to become Joe Flacco's number one target and surpass 1000 yards for the first time in his career.

Chris Henry Bengals: Henry is best known for his trouble making antics, but he has turned the corner and is now ready to become a big time playmaker. He is currently getting rave reviews from everyone in the Bengals organization and is even being called "Randy Moss Jr" by Carson Palmer. With the loss of TJ Houshmandzadeh, look for Henry to possibly develop into the number two receiver and have a career year.

Nate Washington Titans: Washington never got to show his big play potential as a starter with the Steelers and now with the Titans, should get more balls thrown his way then ever. Even though the Titans will focus on running the ball, they will open up for play action and let Washington lose. Don't be surprised if he has over 800 yards and 6 touchdowns this season.

Saturday, July 25, 2009

Fbkid's Breakout Players: Running Backs


Running back is a position where players breakout every year. Last year backs such as Michael Turner, Pierre Thomas and Derrick Ward brokeout and became names that were known by the common fan. Here are my predictions for running backs who will breakout this year and possibly make their first Pro Bowl.

Felix Jones Cowboys: Before his season ending injury, Jones showed the potential that could make him one of the game's most explosive backs. Now that Jones is healthy and the lack of depth in the Cowboys receiving corps, look for Jones to get lots of carries this year and considering that he will be doing kickoffs as well don't be surprised if he has over 2000 total yards.


Kevin Smith Lions: Smith had a very good rookie season but the thing that sticks out the most is that as the season went on and he earned more carries, he played better. Even though he played behind one of the worst offensive lines in the league, Smith still managed to have 938 yards and 8 touchdowns. Regardless of who starts at quarterback between Matthew Stafford and Daunte Culpepper, Smith should face less eight man fronts and improve on his rookie totals. Don't be surprised if he runs for over 1100 yards this year.


Ray Rice Ravens: Even though the Ravens have Willis McGahee, there is a very good chance that Rice will be the starting running back when the season starts. Rice has fresh legs and proved during his time at Rutgers that he is a very durable back. Now that Derrick Mason has retired, the Ravens will be looking to run more on offense and Rice who is also a good receiver out of the backfield, should get the majority of those carries. It wouldn't be surprising if Rice runs for over 1,000 yards this year.

Jerious Norwood Falcons: Considering he averages 5.8 yards a carry for his career, it's hard to believe the Falcons don't get Norwood the ball more. Even though the Falcons have Michael Turner ahead of Norwood, he should get lots of playing time this year. Turner had over 370 carries last year and most backs who have that heavy a workload either decline or get hurt the next year. Just ask Shaun Alexander or Larry Johnson. Considering that, Norwood should get plenty of opportunities this year and if he is as impressive as he has been with his chances so far, he should be fun to watch.

Jamaal Charles Chiefs: Charles is in a situation very similar to Norwood's. Both are very explosive and should get a lot of playing time this year as they are both behind backs who have had heavy workloads. In Charles' case, it is Larry Johnson who while he has still been productive, hasn't been the same since his 2006 season where he had 416 carries. With Todd Haley coming in as the new coach, the Chiefs will also be looking to pass the ball more and Charles is a better receiver out of the backfield. While Charles won't get tons of touches, don't be surprised if he breaks some highlight reel runs and has over 1000 total yards.

Fred Jackson Bills: Most fans don't know who Jackson is, but he is one of the league's best kept secrets. He is one of the best backup running backs in the league and is also a very good receiver out of the backfield. Due to Marshawn Lynch's three game suspension to start the season, Jackson should get lots of carries and will be able to showcase his skills in a starter's role. While the starting gig won't last the whole season, look for Jackson to still get 10-12 touches a game even when he resorts back to being Lynch's backup.

Monday, July 20, 2009

Fbkid's Top Ten Shocking Predictions for the 2009 Season


As some of you may remember, last year I made a post about my shocking predictions for the NFL season. While some were right on the mark, other's were way off. When the season is over, I will do a recap of my predictions to see how they played out. So now it's time to look in my crystal ball for my shocking predictions this upcoming football season.

1. Steve Slaton will win the rushing title: Most people would say that Adrian Peterson is a lock to win this honor but don't sleep on Slaton. Slaton ran for 1282 yards in his rookie season and that should only be the beginning. He is a perfect fit for the Texans zone blocking scheme and is going to get the ball even more this year. Don't be surprised if by the end of the year Slaton is regarded as one of the elite backs in the league.

2. The New Orleans Saints will win the NFC South: Since the division reallignment in 2002, up until last year the team that finishes last in the NFC South has always won the division the next year. With their explosive offense and improved defense, the Saints should continue the trend this year. Depending on the job Gregg Williams does as defensive coordinator, the team could be one of the last ones standing in the NFC.

3. Joe Flacco will be a victim of the "Sophomore Slump": Last year Flacco and Matt Ryan took the league by storm leading their teams as rookies into the playoffs. Both of these guys played so well because of their supporting cast. For Ryan, it consisted of playmakers like Michael Turner and Roddy White. In Flacco's case, it was the Ravens defense that is arguably the best in football. Due to the sudden retirement of Derrick Mason, Flacco has now lost his go to receiver and after Mason there is a big dropoff. If the season started today, the Ravens starting receivers would most likely be Mark Clayton and Demetrius Williams. Both guys have lots of potential but neither of them have shown many glimpses of being a number one receiver. With the defense, the Ravens still have a very good chance at making the playoffs but it could be another rough year at quarterback in Baltimore after last year's breath of fresh air.

4. The Miami Dolphins won't win 8 games: Going into the 2008 season, the Cleveland Browns were a trendy pick to win the AFC North. After going 10-6 the previous year many people including myself thought they were ready to take the next step. The same thing that stopped the Browns last year is what is going to hurt the Dolphins: strength of schedule. Since they went 1-15 in 2007, the Dolphins had one of the easier schedules in the league. This year, they have the hardest. Other factors play into consideration as well. The "Wildcat" or with the addition of Pat White through the draft "Wildpat" will now be something that defenses prepare for and it progressively got less effective last season as the year went on. Chad Pennington was one of the great comeback stories last season but the playoff game against the Ravens showed that while he is a very accurate passer, he doesn't have the arm strength to scare defenses. Look for the Chad Henne era to begin in Miami by the end of this year.


5. The Houston Texans will make the playoffs: For what seemed like forever, the Cardinals were everybody's trend pick to make the playoffs. Now that they have actually been there and ended up making the Super Bowl, a new team has to fill the void. That team is the Texans. The Texans are a young team with potential the only thing that could stop them is the quarterback position. Matt Schaub has showed signs of potential but has had a hard time staying on the field. After losing one of the best backups in the league in Sage Rosenfels, the Texans signed Rex Grossman to be the backup. Depending on what Grossman shows up, this could either be an excellent move or one that gives Texans fans nightmares. The defense is improving as well as they added Antonio Smith to rush the passer alongside Mario Williams and added Brian Cushing through the draft who should get a chance to start right away. If Schaub can play a full 16 game season alongside offensive weapons such as Steve Slaton and Andre Johnson, the Texans will be a very dangerous team come playoff time.


6. The Detroit Lions will win at least four games: In most cases, predicting four wins isn't much. But for a team, that went 0-16 last year, it's a very big first step. Jim Schwartz is bringing a new state of identity to a team that for the past 50 years has had a losing culture. Schwartz has already started building through the draft and it wouldn't be surprising if his first three picks Matthew Stafford, Brandon Pettigrew and Louis Delmas were all opening day starters. As hard as it is to believe, not all of Matt Millen's draft picks were failures as Calvin Johnson, Kevin Smith and Ernie Sims are all worth building around. Johnson is arguably the most talented receiver in the league and put up pro bowl type numbers with a very messy quarterback situation. The second half of Smith's rookie year was very impressive as he improved when his workload increased. Sims will be looked upon as the leader of the defense and has been one of the game's most consistent linebackers in his three year career. The offensive line is still a very weak spot but if Schwartz and new GM Martin Mayhew make good picks in the trenches, the team could be contending in the next three years.

7. The Seattle Seahawks will make the playoffs: Due to injuries at many key positions, the Seahawks were one of the league's biggest dissapointments last year. This year should be different. Matt Hasselbeck is fully healthy and has a new weapon in T.J. Houshmandzadeh along with John Carlson who proved last year to be one of the best young tight ends in the game. The defense should be strong as well with one of the league's top pass rushers in Patrick Kearney along with two very good young linebackers in Lofa Tatupu and Aaron Curry. If there are two things to remember about the Seahawks this season here they are: the NFC West is still extremely weak and they have the Broncos 1st round pick next year and considering how the Josh McDaniels era is going so far, it could be a very high one. Even though Hasselbeck is 34, it wouldn't be surprising if the Seahawks were contenders for two or three more years.

8. Three rookie quarterbacks will be starting by week 12: Last year two rookie quarterbacks took the league by storm. This year, it wouldn't be surprising if there were three. Matthew Stafford, Mark Sanchez and Josh Freeman will all be starting by the end of this year. It is very possible that all three of these guys will be their team's opening day starters as Stafford and Sanchez are already signed. While Sanchez could be starting to give his team the best chance to win, Stafford and Freeman will most likely be starting to show their team's what's in store for the future as they both have veterans with years of starting experience ahead of them.

9. Mark Sanchez will win offensive rookie of the year: While running backs usually transition the fastest to the NFL, it is always a huge story when a rookie quarterback suceeds right away. With Sanchez being in New York, that story will be even bigger. Sanchez is in the best situation out of any rookie quarterback as he has an established offensive line, a very good defense and a rookie quarterback's best friend a good running game. It wouldn't be surprising if Sanchez put up big numbers in the big apple and if does expect him to ride the New York media train on the way to rookie of the year honors.

10. Louis Delmas will win defensive rookie of the year: Most people would have guys like Aaron Curry, Brian Cushing or Brian Orakpo here but none of them will be on the field as much as Delmas. Even though the Lions will improve this year, the offense will still struggle behind the poor offensive line and Delmas will have every opportunity to prove he is a tackling machine. The Lions are in love with him and there is a very good chance that he will be the starting safety when the year begins. Delmas is also very strong in run support and even if the defense continues to struggle, he will certainly be one of the bright spots.

Saturday, July 04, 2009

Breakout Player Recap: Cornerbacks and Safeties


As passing attacks continue to thrive all around the league, it is important to have a good secondary. Some of the guys I predicted to breakout last year have worked their way into the conversation of the elite at their position. Here is a breakdown of how they did.

Cornerback:

Eric Wright Browns:

What I said: Wright had a very good rookie year as he had 76 tackles and one interception. By the end of the year, he was playing like a Pro Bowl caliber corner as teams were avoiding his side of the field. Look for Wright to continue his progress this year and possibly make his first trip to the Pro Bowl.

Now: Wright was very impressive in his second season recording 66 tackles and 3 interceptions. He also returned a interception on Monday Night Football 94 yards for a touchdown. Wright is getting better every year so it is only a matter of time before fans know who he is.

Hit or Miss: Push

Fred Bennett Texans:

What I said: With injuries in the secondary, Bennett came in and started as a rookie and showed that he has the potential to be one of the best corners in the league. Bennett only started 8 games but ended up with 62 tackles 2 forced fumbles and 3 interceptions. Look for him to have an even bigger impact this season.

Now: Bennett only started 6 games in his second year but was effective with 43 tackles two forced fumbles and two interceptions. He still showed lots of potential so look for him to breakout when he gets the chance to start for a whole year.

Hit or Miss: Miss


Darrelle Revis Jets:

What I said: Out of all the corners on the list, Revis has the best chance to be a premier corner for years to come. He showed great coverage skills as a rookie and ended up with 87 tackles and 3 interceptions. With that kind of play, Revis has a great chance of making the Pro Bowl in his second season.

Now: Revis played very well in his second season and as the year went on, teams threw at him less and less. For the year he had 58 tackles and five interceptions. The Jets defense should be one of the best in the league this year so look for him to make his second trip to the Pro Bowl this year.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Johnathan Joseph Bengals:

What I said: In his second season, Joseph had 62 tackles and 4 interceptions. Joseph has the potential to be a very good corner as he has good size and excellent speed. As Leon Hall develops, look for Joseph to have an even bigger impact this year as he and Hall have the potential to be a great cornerback tandem in a couple years.

Now: Joseph only played eight games but would have set a career high in tackles as he had 42 in the games played. It's hard to have a breakout season when your not playing so look for Joseph to play better this year.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Cortland Finnegan Titans:

What I said: Finnegan was very impressive in his second season as he had 95 tackles along with one interception. He was very impressive as he shut down many of the leagues top receivers last year. Look for him to develop into one of the leagues top corners this year.

Now: Finnegan broke out in a big way last year as he was one of the defensive stars for a Titans team that was the talk of the regular season. Finnegan made his first trip to the Pro Bowl last year and it certainly won't be his last.

Hit or Miss: Hit


Safeties:

Antrel Rolle Cardinals:

What I said: Rolle may have had 5 interceptions last year, but lots of people around the league say he didn't have the mechanics to play corner. So Rolle now moves to safety where he and Adrian Wilson are both rangy play makers who will strike fear into opposing offenses.

Now: Rolle was an impact player at safety notching 89 tackles and one interception. This was only his first year at the position so look for him to improve over time as the Cardinals defense emerges as one of the best in the NFC.

Hit or Miss: Push

LaRon Landry Redskins:

What I said: Landry had a very good rookie year as he had 95 tackles and showed that he can be one of the best safties in the game. Look for him to have an even better second season as he will have more opportunities with the Redskins improved pass rush.

Now: Landry was productive in his second year with 65 tackles two forced fumbles and two interceptions. He should continue to get better and considering that he is in a big market, could make his first Pro Bowl in a year or two.

Hit or Miss: Push



Chris Harris Panthers:

What I said: Everyone around the league knows who Harris is the only reason he is on the list is because, the majority of fans don't. Harris last year had 95 tackles and forced an incredible 8 fumbles. He also had 1 interception. Look for him to have another great season this year and if he puts up those kind of numbers, he should be headed for the Pro Bowl.

Now: For some reason, Harris didn't play as well as he did in 2007. He wasn't terrible in 2008 recording 70 tackles along with two forced fumbles and an interception but I was expecting him to take the next step. It is hard to determine what Harris will do this season but it will most likely be something in between his 2007 and 2008 campaigns.
Hit or Miss: Miss

Sunday, June 28, 2009

Breakout Player Recap: Linebacker


Linebackers had a very big impact on the way the season went last year. James Harrison won defensive player of the year and who knows how far the Ravens would have gone if Ray Lewis didn't play so well. While players like Lewis are a few years from retiring, there are a lot of young talented linebackers who will fill their void. Here are how my breakout predictions from last year look now.



LaMarr Woodley Steelers:

What I said: Woodley didn't start a game in his rookie season but still managed to get 4 sacks. Now that Clark Haggans left for the Cardinals. Woodley has his chance to start for the Steelers and show why he has the upside to be one of the best pass rushers in the league. Woodley has the potential and opportunity to put up a Pro Bowl season in his first full year as a starter.

Now: Woodley put up big numbers in his first year as a starter recording 11.5 sacks and becoming a key player on a very strong Steelers defense. As long as James Harrison commands double teams, Woodley should continue to have double digit sack totals.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Ernie Sims Lions:

What I said: Sims has already established himself as one of the best linebackers in the league as he has 258 tackles in his first two seasons. So why is Sims on this list? That's because he plays for the Lions. Other than Thanksgiving day, football fans around the country don't get to watch Sims and they are missing out. He has already shown what he is capable of and is similar to a young Derrick Brooks. Another good season and Sims should be headed to Hawaii for his first Pro Bowl.

Now: Sims had another very productive year with 113 tackles and 1 sack. The problem is that those numbers are because the Lions defense was on the field most of the game. Sims has played very well his first few years in the league but the Lions must improve before Sims is known on a national stage.

Hit or Miss: Push

Jon Beason Panthers:

What I said: If not for Patrick Willis, Beason would have been talked about for his incredible rookie season. Beason had 140 tackles and 1 interception. He is in a similar boat as Sims as the Panthers don't get much national attention either. But if Beason keeps putting up numbers like that, it will be hard for most football fans to not pay attention.

Now: Beason was just as productive in his second season notching 138 tackles and 3 interceptions. He also did well in the team's only playoff game as he managed to have 8 tackles and an interception. If he puts those numbers up again this year, he should be making his first trip to the Pro Bowl.

Hit or Miss: Hit

David Harris Jets:

What I said: As a rookie, Harris only started 9 games. But he was a tackling machine as he had 127 on the year. Harris also had 5 sacks and forced 2 fumbles. With a full year starting, Harris could prove to be one of the best young linebackers in the league.

Now: Harris was starting to shine in his first year as a starter but a hamstring injury that cost him 5 games hindered his progress. The Jets defense should be one of the best in the league this year and in a big market, Harris could become one of the elite linebackers in the league.

Hit or Miss: Push

Paul Posluszny Bills:

What I said: If Posluszny didn't have a season ending arm injury in week 3, he would be in the same discussion as Willis and Beason. In 3 games, he had 26 tackles which would have put him on pace for 139 tackles. Now Posluszny is healthy and with the Bills poised to make the playoffs, Posluszny has the chance to become a star in his second year.

Now: Posluszny put up good numbers in his first full season as he notched 110 tackles and an interception. With the improvements to the offense, the Bills defense shouldn't be on the field as much so it wouldn't be a surprise if Posluszny did even better in his second full season.

HIt or Miss: Push

D'Qwell Jackson Browns:

What I said: In his second season,Jackson showed flashes of his potential as he had 101 tackles, 1 sack and an interception. But because he plays for the Browns, nobody knows who he is yet. That should change this year as the Browns have 5 prime time games this season and with the additions of Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams up front, Jackson could be even better this year.

Now: Jackson was excellent in his third season recording 154 tackles with two sacks and three interceptions. The Browns were one of the biggest dissapointments last year which would explain why Jackson didn't make the Pro Bowl even though it was well deserved. Jackson is playing like an elite linebacker and it will only be a matter of time until he is regarded as one.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Thomas Howard Raiders:

What I said: Howard has all the makings to turn into a star in his 3rd season. He had 95 tackles last year and is one of the best linebackers in the league in pass coverage as he had 6 interceptions. With his 4.4 speed, Howard ended up taking two of those for touchdowns. With the Raiders improved defense, look for Howard to make his first Pro Bowl appearance in the near future.

Now: Howard's third season was almost identical to his second as he had 97 tackles and 1 interception. His interception total dropped due to the fact that teams were throwing away from him because of his great coverage skills and athleticism. Look for Howard to emerge this season if the Raiders contend in a weak AFC West.

Hit or Miss: Push

Justin Durant Jaguars:

What I said: When Mike Peterson went down with an injury, the unknown Durant stepped in as a rookie and had 49 tackles and 1 interception. The most impressive part was how in his first playoff game against the Steelers, he stepped in and had 12 tackles. With Peterson returning to the middle, Durant will most likely move to the outside where he can utilize his speed and has the opportunity to be a game changing linebacker for years to come.

Now: Durant was solid in his first year as a starter, but the numbers weren't as good as expected as he had 70 tackles in 13 games. In his prime Mike Peterson was a tackling machine with the Jaguars and it wouldn't be surprising if Durant ends up following the same path.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Breakout Player Recap: Defensive Linemen


This is my first post for the defensive side of the ball in the player recap series. Fittingly, it starts with the men up front: the defensive linemen. I only picked 5 of them to breakout last year, but it should be interesting to see how they fared as some of them might have been picked a year too soon.

Gaines Adams Buccaneers:

What I said: Adams had a solid rookie year as he had 38 tackles and 6 sacks but at the end of the year, he showed why he was a top 5 pick in the draft. Adams started to get off the edge faster and learned how to use his great size and speed to create mismatches for his opponents. If Adams continues to improve, he could be in for a trip to Hawaii in the near future. Don't be surprised if Adams gets at least 10 sacks this year.

Now: Adams' second season was almost identical to his first. He had the same amount of tackles with 6.5 sacks and two interceptions. This should be the year where he takes the next step where he reaches double digit sacks and possibly makes the Pro Bowl.

Hit or Miss: Push

Ray Edwards Vikings:

What I said: Edwards has the skill set to be a dominant defensive end in the league. He is 6'5 268 pounds and has 4.8 speed. Last year Edwards had 5 sacks but now with Jared Allen across from him and Kenechi Udeze out for the year, Edwards has a chance to shine. Don't be surprised if Edwards gets at least 10 sacks.

Now: Edwards didn't have double digit sacks like I predicted, but he did have his best year statistically of his career with 50 tackles and 5 sacks. Edwards will continue to be the beneficiary of Jared Allen double teams so it's only a matter of time until he is one of the league's sack leaders.

Hit or Miss: Push

Brodrick Bunkley Eagles:

What I said: Bunkley started to show in his second year why he was worthy of a 1st round pick in 2006. He has incredible strength and the size to clog up the middle of the line. Bunkley has lost some weight this offseason and with the additions on the Eagles defense of Chris Clemons and Asante Samuel, Bunkley could develop into a Pro Bowl caliber player very soon.

Now: Bunkley didn't make the Pro Bowl, but he continued to be a huge presence on the inside. The Eagles have proven to be among the NFC's elite and if the defense plays well look for Bunkley to get his fair share of credit.

Hit or Miss: Push

Jovan Haye Buccaneers:

What I said: In his first year starting, Haye was very impressive as he had 68 tackles and 6 sacks. With the development of Adams and the core of the Bucs defense intact, there is no reason to doubt that Haye could have an even better season in 2008.

Now: After impressing his first year as a starter, Haye took a step back in 2008. He only had 33 tackles and went from six sacks to zero in the course of a year. Haye was picked up by the Titans this offseason and now has an excellent opportunity to fill the very large footsteps that Albert Haynesworth left behind.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Marcus Thomas Broncos:

What I said: If not for legal troubles, Thomas would have been a first round pick in 2007. Instead he fell to the Broncos in the 4th round and if he lives up to the first round hype, the Broncos will be very happy. Thomas impressed at times last year as he had 19 tackles and a sack in 5 starts. Thomas should show lots of flashes of stardom this year, but look for him to really breakout in 2009.

Now: Thomas started every game in his second season and while he wasn't as dominant as I thought he would be, he still showed flashes of stardom. Look for Thomas to be a key contributor on a Broncos team that's really looking to improve its defense.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Friday, June 19, 2009

Breakout Player Recap: Wide Receivers and Tight Ends


Like my last post, I will be breaking down how my predictions for who would break out last year look now. This time it is wide receivers and tight ends and while some didn't do that well, others did what I expected and more.


Wide Receiver:


Calvin Johnson Lions:

What I said: Johnson had a solid rookie year as he had 756 yards and 4 touchdowns. But compared to his hype coming in, that was a disappointment. Johnson has great size at 6'5 and with 4.3 speed and a 40' inch vertical, many people thought he would come right in and be an elite receiver. Johnson was bothered by a back injury last year which slowed him down so now that he is healthy and the Lions will be running a more balanced attack, don't be surprised if he has more than 1000 yards and 10 touchdowns.

Now: Even though he had multiple quarterbacks throwing him the ball, Johnson did what I expected and more in his second season. He averaged over 17 yards a catch and had over 1300 yards and 12 touchdowns. Johnson is now one of the elite receivers in the league and will be a guy everyone is fighting for in your fantasy league. If Matthew Stafford comes in and develops into everything the Lions think he can be, as scary as it is, Johnson can get even better.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Sidney Rice Vikings:

What I said: Rice had a solid rookie season as he had 396 yards and 4 touchdowns. Now he has added 8 pounds of muscle this offseason and with his 6'4 frame, it was important for him to fill out. Now with Bernard Berrian on the other side, Rice will have single coverage on smaller corners and become one of the best red zone targets in the league.

Now: Rice had nagging injuries all of last year and his stats took a big hit. While he did have four touchdowns, he only had 15 catches and averaged less than ten yards per. On the bright side, Rice is only 22 and is entering his third year which is a year where receivers such as Roddy White and Braylon Edwards took their games to the next level. The only problem is, the Vikings still aren't settled at quarterback.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Santonio Holmes Steelers:

What I said: Holmes had a very good sophomore campaign as he averaged over 18 yards a catch and had 8 touchdowns. But he should be even better this year as he has a great connection with Ben Roethlisberger and Hines Ward is starting to decline. Don't be surprised if Holmes gets at least 1200 yards this year and makes the Pro Bowl.

Now: Holmes had a solid regular season, but decided to breakout on the grandest of stages. Holmes was named the MVP of the Super Bowl after his 9 catch 131 yard performance. This also included a touchdown catch in the very last minute that will be replayed along with the David Tyree helmet in the NFL Films vault for the next 50 years. Considering his big game performance and Hines Ward's decline, many people will be expecting Holmes to become the number one receiver and possibly make his first Pro Bowl this upcoming year.

Hit or Miss: Hit


Mike Walker Jaguars:

What I said: I was very high on Walker last year until the Jaguars put him on injured reserve. Now he is fully healthy and with Jerry Porter missing preseason, Walker might come in to training camp as the Jaguars number one receiver. Don't be surprised if Walker becomes one of the better players from the receiver heavy 2007 draft class.

Now: Walker always shows flashes of potential, but those glimpses are always ruined due to injuries. After his first career 100 yard game on Sunday Night Football, Walker then goes on to miss the next four games as he's in the hospital with a staph infection. The Jags are looking for a receiver to start opposite Torry Holt now though and as of now, Walker is the leader in the clubhouse.

Hit or Miss: Push

Anthony Gonzalez Colts:

What I said: Gonzalez had a solid rookie season as he had 576 yards and 3 touchdowns. But with Marvin Harrison declining and his health a factor, Gonzalez could be starting for one of the most explosive offenses in the league. Gonzalez probably won't become a number one receiver but he has the potential to be an elite number two. Don't be surprised if he gets around 1000 yards and 6 touchdowns this year.

Now: Gonzalez had a year very similar to his first as he had 664 yards and 4 touchdowns. Now that Marvin Harrison has been released, Gonzalez will be the starter and should get more balls thrown his way. He will probably never be a number one, but Gonzalez could develop into a premier number two receiver.

Hit or Miss: Push

Chansi Stuckey Jets:

What I said: Like Walker, Stuckey was placed on injured reserve for his whole rookie season. Stuckey though could come in this year and right away be the slot receiver for the Jets and with his speed, gives them another deep threat. With the quarterback situation still unsettled, Stuckey should show glimpses this year but should really start hitting his stride in 2009.

Now: Stuckey was one of the pleasant early season surprises as he scored a touchdown in each of his first three games. However, that was all he scored. With the departure of Laveranues Coles, Stuckey should get more balls thrown his way and touchdowns this year.

Hit or Miss: Miss
Tight End:


Ben Utecht Bengals:

What I said: Utecht is a pass catching tight end and he now gives Carson Palmer a dimension he has never had during his time in Cincinnati. Utecht has great size at 6'6 and has experience in pass oriented offenses as he was previously with the Colts. Utecht could end up with around 55 catches and 5 touchdowns in his first year with the Bengals.

Now: Utecht only played 10 games last season but for someone who was primed to have a breakout year, he really disappointed. In an offense that has been looking for a pass catching tight end, Utecht only caught 16 passes for 123 yards. The Bengals drafted Chase Coffman in the third round this year so it will be interesting to see what ends up happening with Utecht.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Marcedes Lewis Jaguars:

What I said: Lewis has great size and soft hands and with the Jaguars low risk passing attack could have a career year in his 3rd season. Last year Lewis had 391 yards and 2 touchdowns. Don't be surprised if that touchdown total at least doubles this year.

Now: Lewis actually had his best year statistically catching 41 balls for 498 yards. It is amazing how the Jaguars considering their receiver situation last year didn't throw it more to the 6'6 Lewis. Lewis is a productive player but in Jacksonville will never have the numbers worthy of a first round pick. If you switched the picks of Lewis and Maurice Jones-Drew, you would be looking at an excellent draft.

Hit or Miss: Push


Zach Miller Raiders:

What I said: Miller had a very good rookie year as he caught 44 passes and 3 touchdowns. Miller has a growing connection with JaMarcus Russell and if Javon Walker isn't fully healthy, could have a big year. Don't be surprised if Miller catches at least 60 passes this year.

Now: Miller definitely built off his early connection with Russell as he is now one of the best tight ends in the league. While he had 778 yards last year, Miller only had one touchdown last year. As the Raiders young receivers continue to develop, look for that number to improve and for Miller to keep on getting better.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Brent Celek Eagles:

What I said: Celek may have only caught 16 passes last year, but he showed lots of potential at the end of the year and with his great size and L.J. Smith's injury history, Celek could get a very good chance to start and could put up big numbers.

Now: Celek didn't have many opportunities to shine last year, but he made the most of them. This included a 131 yard game against the Seahawks and a 10 catch game along with two touchdowns in the NFC Championship game. With L.J. Smith out of town, Celek will now be the starter and it wouldn't be surprising if he caught 50 balls this year.

Hit or Miss: Push

Sunday, June 14, 2009

Breakout Player Recap: Quarterbacks and Running Backs


Some people may remember that last year I had a series of posts where I predicted some players who could breakout and end up having big time years. Now with a new series only a week or two away, I thought it was a good time to reflect on how those predictions looked now. This is the first installment where I predicted quarterbacks and running backs that would breakout last year. Let's see how the predictions panned out.

Quarterback:

Jay Cutler Broncos:

What I said: Cutler may have thrown 20 touchdowns last year, but he is only reaching his potential. The Broncos acquired some new targets for Cutler in Keary Colbert and Darrell Jackson and if Brandon Marshall is suspended, it will soften the blow. Plus he always has Tony Scheffler to throw the ball to and he is on the verge of becoming an elite tight end. Don't be surprised if Cutler throws 30 touchdowns this year.

Now: Cutler may not have thrown for 30 touchdowns like I predicted, but numbers wise it was his best as a pro throwing for over 4500 yards and 25 touchdowns. Cutler wasn't one to shy away from headlines this offseason. He was traded to the Bears due to his frustration after new head coach Josh McDaniels was looking into getting his old pupil Matt Cassel. Cutler won't have as good a supporting cast in Chicago, but they are an immediate contender in the NFC North.

Hit or Miss: Push
Trent Edwards Bills:

What I said: Edwards was solid as a rookie last year as he was a very good game manager and ended up throwing 7 touchdowns. Now that he has a full year of the offense under his belt along with a 6'6 red zone threat in James Hardy, don't be surprised if Edwards throws 20 touchdowns this year.

Now: Edwards was solid in his first year as a starter completing nearly 66 percent of his passes along with 11 touchdowns. The main problem was that the Bills receiving corps were depleted last year and lacked size after James Hardy suffered a season ending injury. This year, Terrell Owens enters the picture and he is usually on his best behavior the first year with a new team so Edwards could put up some big numbers.

Hit or Miss: Push

Drew Stanton Lions:

What I said: Many people forgot about Stanton last year as he went on injured reserve with a knee injury during preseason. But he is a name you want to remember this year. If the Lions struggle out of the gate, Stanton should see some playing time and with the targets he has in Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson, he could put up some big numbers. That and the fact the Lions usually play from behind, it wouldn't be surprising if Stanton threw at least 15 touchdowns.

Now: It doesn't look that good for Stanton. Three quarterbacks played before him last year and with Matthew Stafford now in the picture, it doesn't look like Stanton will get the chance to play. As of right now he is a project as it is hard to learn a system when you have two offensive coordinators in two years. If he doesn't make the Lions roster this year, look for Stanton to try and catch on with a team like the Colts where he is in no rush to play and he will have two or three years to learn the offense.

Hit or Miss: Miss

JaMarcus Russell Raiders:

What I said: The Raiders got some new weapons on offense this offseason and nobody benefits more than Russell. Russell now has a year of learning the offense and has a good group of receivers led by Javon Walker and Ronald Curry. When the Raiders start pulling it together later on in the season, people will be talking about how well Russell is performing and how he could lead them to the playoffs in 2009.

Now: Like I predicted, the Raiders came on late in the season and it was in large part due to Russell. In the last two games of the year which were both Raiders wins, Russell threw for 384 yards 4 touchdowns and an interception. If he continues to play the way he did at the end of the year, the Raiders could surprise people in a very weak AFC West.

Hit or Miss: Push

Troy Smith Ravens:

What I said: If you've read my previous posts, you can see that I am very high on Smith and think he should be the starter in Baltimore. He was solid in limited playing time last year and could thrive under new offensive coordinator Cam Cameron as he will take pressure off of him by getting a ground game going. Joe Flacco might be the long term answer for the Ravens, but don't be surprised if Smith shines when he gets his chance.

Now: If it wasn't for tonsillitis that caused him to drop 20 pounds, Smith would have been the started in Baltimore. Things didn't work out that badly for the Ravens though as Joe Flacco came in and played very well in his rookie season. Even if he played, Smith wasn't the quarterback of the future so unless he gets traded, he will be a quality backup option.

Hit or Miss: Miss

Tyler Thigpen Chiefs:

What I said: When most people see this, the first thing that comes to mind is, "Who?" but Thigpen could have a big impact this season. Thigpen has already impressed the Chiefs as he passed Damon Huard for 2nd on the depth chart entering training camp. Thigpen has a strong arm, good mechanics and 4.7 speed which is solid for a quarterback. He's only a few bad games from Brodie Croyle from starting and if Croyle plays anything like last year, Thigpen could be playing quickly.

Now: Even though the Chiefs only won two games last year, they were actually pretty fun to watch when Thigpen was at the helm. In 11 starts he threw for over 2600 yards and 18 touchdowns and he also led all quarterbacks with 386 rushing yards. Unfortunately, Thigpen won't get to start this year after the Chiefs traded for Matt Cassel. This shouldn't be the last we hear of Thigpen though as a team should be more than willing to give him a chance when he is a free agent due to his performance last year.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Running back:

Marshawn Lynch Bills:

What I said: In his rookie season, Lynch ended up with over 1100 rushing yards to go along with 7 touchdowns. The scary part is, he missed 3 games. If Lynch played the whole season, Adrian Peterson might not have ended up with the rookie of the year award. Lynch's sophomore campaign should be even better as he now has a year of the offense under his belt and it doesn't hurt that he plays the Dolphins and Jets a combined 4 times. By the end of this year, Lynch could be mentioned in the same breath as the elite running backs in the league.

Now: Lynch did make the Pro Bowl in his second year, but he isn't in the elite category yet. His numbers actually declined in his second year and his suspension didn't help. With the improved passing game, Lynch could have a big year the only problem is after his arrest this offseason will he be around to enjoy it for all 16 games.

Hit or Miss: Push


Selvin Young Broncos:

What I said: With Travis Henry gone, Young is now the starting back for one of the best rushing attacks in the league. He had a solid rookie year averaging over 5 yards a carry for 729 yards. WIth all of that in mind, Young looks like he's ready to put up big rushing numbers in typical Broncos fashion. Don't be surprised if he has over 1300 rushing yards this year.

Now: In a year in which the Broncos went through multiple backs, Young took a major step backwards in his second season. Granted, he did miss 8 games but he only ran for 303 yards and one touchdown. Considering the arrival of Knowshon Moreno, Young probably won't start this year but the 5 yards a carry average is a good indication he would be a very good third down back.

Hit or Miss: Miss

LenDale White Titans:

What I said: Many people bash White for his weight, but last year he had a career best 1110 yards in the starting role with 7 touchdowns. But if those numbers sound impressive, get this, he played all of last season on a torn meniscus. Now with Chris Johnson in the backfield to help carry the load, White could be even more productive this season. 1200 yards and double digit touchdowns isn't out of the question.

Now: White was a touchdown machine last year scoring 15 good for third in the league. He and Johnson formed the duo of "Smash and Dash" which is arguably the best running back tandem in the league. This could help White in the long run as the wear and tear from his bruising running style is toned down to sharing carries. If the passing game improves, White and Johnson could be even more explosive this year.

Hit or Miss: Hit

Pierre Thomas Saints:

What I said: When people think of Thomas, two questions come to mind. First, who names their son Pierre and the other is who is this guy? Well, I can only answer one of those questions but it should help. When Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush both went down with injuries, Thomas had his first career start in week 17 against the Bears where he had both 100 rushing and receiving yards. He is a north south runner and a good receiver. So basically he is what you get when you combine McAllister and Bush. With McAllister and Bush's health issues, Thomas could get some starts for the Saints this year and it wouldn't be surprising if he had over 1000 all purpose yards.

Now: Thomas had a very big year with over 900 total yards and 12 touchdowns. With Deuce McAllister gone, Thomas should get even more carries this year and it wouldn't be surprising if he is one of the top running backs in fantasy football either. While many people expect Reggie Bush to be the feature back in New Orleans, look for Thomas to be the featured back by the end of the year.

Hit or Miss: Hit